arXiv AI

Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Customer Churn Prediction in Telecommunications: A Framework for CRM Integration

The paper presents a framework for integrating explainable AI into customer churn prediction for telecommunications. It benchmarks four classifiers—Logistic Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM—on the IBM Telco Customer Churn dataset, finding comparable performance with Logistic Regression achieving the highest AUC-ROC and LightGBM the highest accuracy. Explanations are provided via SHAP and LIME at both global and instance levels, and a four‑layer CRM integration architecture is proposed to translate risk scores and attribution vectors into actionable retention strategies, projecting a 3.3–5.3 percentage point reduction in churn and $199K–$319K savings per campaign cycle.

arXiv AI
Jun 2

ChurnNet: A Optimized Modern AI for Churn Prediction

arXiv:2606. 00169v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Increased competition and the growing similarity of products and services offered by retailers have lowered the barriers for customers to switch to competitors.

By Syed Saad Saif, Giulio Maggiore, Paolo Russo, Damiano Distante
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 16

Foundation Models for Credit Risk Prediction: A Game Changer?

arXiv:2605. 18147v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive models play a pivotal role in credit risk management, guiding critical decisions through accurate estimation of default probabilities and losses.

By Bart Baesens, Andreas Goethals, Stefan Lessmann, Simon De Vos, Cristi\'an Bravo, David Martens, Victor Medina-Olivares, Christophe Mues, Maria Oskarsd\'ottir, Seppe vanden Broucke, Tony Van Gestel, Tim Verdonck, Wouter Verbeke
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 28

SPARC Segmentation to Prediction via Affine Regression and Counterfactuals

Transaction propensity prediction in B2B e commerce presents unique challenges distinct from B2C contexts, primarily due to the heterogeneous procurement behaviors of organizational entities, which violate SMOTE's implicit assumption of within class feature homogeneity. Specifically, B2B buyers exhibit multi modal procurement cycles that render linear interpolation between minority class samples structurally invalid, producing synthetic data that does not represent real purchasing behavior.

arXiv AI
Jul 21

Detection, Attribution, Narration: An End-to-End Pipeline for Explainable Money Mule Identification

arXiv:2607. 17586v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Money mule accounts are critical facilitators of financial fraud, yet detecting them at scale remains challenging due to the heterogeneous nature of transactional and behavioural data.

By Yuge Zhang, Yuanxing Zhang, Yichao Jin, Khairul Amsyar Mohd Razis, Nicholas Qi An Choo, Kai Yin Anders Wong, Xinyan Tang, Kenneth Zhu Ke, Wee Keong Dennis Lee, Jingyuan Zhao