arXiv AI
Aug 28

Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Customer Churn Prediction in Telecommunications: A Framework for CRM Integration

The paper presents a framework for integrating explainable AI into customer churn prediction for telecommunications. It benchmarks four classifiers—Logistic Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM—on the IBM Telco Customer Churn dataset, finding comparable performance with Logistic Regression achieving the highest AUC-ROC and LightGBM the highest accuracy. Explanations are provided via SHAP and LIME at both global and instance levels, and a four‑layer CRM integration architecture is proposed to translate risk scores and attribution vectors into actionable retention strategies, projecting a 3.3–5.3 percentage point reduction in churn and $199K–$319K savings per campaign cycle.

By Sandeep Gaddamwar
arXiv AI
Oct 16

Money-Mule Detection as a Relational Learning Problem: A Study on the RBIH NFPC Dataset

The paper presents a graph‑based method for detecting money‑mule accounts by treating a bank’s relational schema as a heterogeneous graph and scoring each account using multi‑hop neighbourhoods, per‑column encoders, relative‑time encoding, and HeteroGraphSAGE message passing. On a five‑year RBIH retail‑banking dataset of 400 million transactions, the model achieves 83 % precision and a 0.5 % false‑alarm rate, recovering nine out of ten held‑out mules and outperforming tree‑based baselines in recall while maintaining precision deep into the alert queue. The approach can be deployed directly on a bank’s existing database without constructing a custom feature graph.

By Owais Ahmad, Anirudh Deodhar