arXiv AI By Joyjit Roy, Samaresh Kumar Singh, Laxmi Shaw

Customer Churn Prediction on Structured Data Using FT-Transformer and Stacking Ensembles

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arXiv:2606. 07582v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Customer churn prediction is essential across data-driven industries such as insurance, digital banking, eCommerce, and subscription platforms, where retaining existing customers is typically more cost-effective than acquiring new ones.

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arXiv AI
Aug 28

Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Customer Churn Prediction in Telecommunications: A Framework for CRM Integration

The paper presents a framework for integrating explainable AI into customer churn prediction for telecommunications. It benchmarks four classifiers—Logistic Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM—on the IBM Telco Customer Churn dataset, finding comparable performance with Logistic Regression achieving the highest AUC-ROC and LightGBM the highest accuracy. Explanations are provided via SHAP and LIME at both global and instance levels, and a four‑layer CRM integration architecture is proposed to translate risk scores and attribution vectors into actionable retention strategies, projecting a 3.3–5.3 percentage point reduction in churn and $199K–$319K savings per campaign cycle.

By Sandeep Gaddamwar
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Jun 2

ChurnNet: A Optimized Modern AI for Churn Prediction

arXiv:2606. 00169v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Increased competition and the growing similarity of products and services offered by retailers have lowered the barriers for customers to switch to competitors.

By Syed Saad Saif, Giulio Maggiore, Paolo Russo, Damiano Distante
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

The Hidden Costs of 99% Accuracy: A Trustworthiness Audit of the Telco Customer Churn Benchmark

The paper audits the IBM Telco Customer Churn benchmark, revealing that common practices inflate performance metrics. It shows that pre‑split SMOTE boosts churn‑class F1 by 13.1 points, that isotonic regression is the best calibration method while temperature scaling fails on tree ensembles, and that the cost‑optimal decision threshold is 5–10 times lower than the F1‑optimal one, saving about $77,000 per 1,000 customers. The authors also test generalisation on Iranian Telecom and Bank churn datasets, and propose a four‑component reporting checklist with reproducible code.

By Soumyadeep Roy