Beyond IID: How General Are Tabular Foundation Models, Really?
arXiv:2606. 30410v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Foundation models for predictive machine learning on tabular data have recently gained significant traction in academia and industry.
arXiv:2605. 18147v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive models play a pivotal role in credit risk management, guiding critical decisions through accurate estimation of default probabilities and losses.
arXiv:2606. 30410v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Foundation models for predictive machine learning on tabular data have recently gained significant traction in academia and industry.
arXiv:2609.09945v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Machine learning-based credit scoring is increasingly central to Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending, yet its resilience to adversarial manipulation, where ap...
arXiv:2608.24582v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Credit risk models increasingly need to combine predictive accuracy with transparent explanations and auditable fairness constraints. Logistic regres...
Credit risk models increasingly need to combine predictive accuracy with transparent explanations and auditable fairness constraints. Logistic regression remains attractive because its coefficients ar...
Mitra‑v2 is a tabular foundation model that achieves state‑of‑the‑art performance on a wide range of real‑world classification and regression tasks, including credit‑risk scoring, clinical prediction, equipment‑failure detection, and house‑price estimation. Trained solely on synthetic data with a larger and more diverse pretraining distribution than its predecessor, it uses a compact 2D Transformer backbone and improved optimization to handle longer contexts and larger feature spaces. On the TabArena and TALENT benchmarks, Mitra‑v2 outperforms leading models such as TabPFN‑3 and TabICLv2, matching the performance of a 1.6B‑parameter TabFM with only 77M parameters, and ranks first on multi‑class classification tasks with more than ten classes.
arXiv:2608. 06137v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular data are ubiquitous in real-world applications and are crucial for data-driven prediction and decision-making across science, industry, finance, healthcare, and public services.
The study investigates whether Large Language Models (LLMs) can translate technical explanations from credit risk models into stakeholder-friendly narratives. Using Freddie Mac loan data, the authors compare standard tabular models (XGBoost + SHAP) with alternative data pipelines (GNN + GNNExplainer and a bimodal mix) and generate explanations with three LLM configurations: a small fine‑tuned Gemma 3 4B, a large fine‑tuned DeepSeek R1 70B, and a zero‑shot Gemini 2.5. Findings show that the quality of explanations is more dependent on the evidence representation than on the LLM, that narratives reliably identify influential factors but are less consistent about the direction of influence, and that credit professionals demand higher evidentiary standards than non‑professionals.
Xiaomi-TabLDM is a tabular foundation model that performs classification and regression via in-context learning without task‑specific fine‑tuning. It is pretrained solely on synthetic data from structural causal models, achieving top‑ranked regression results on multiple benchmarks while reducing training and prediction time compared to leading models. The architecture incorporates a three‑stage training strategy, dual‑stream feature grouping, lightweight attention residuals, and sparse mixture‑of‑experts, and it can further improve accuracy through test‑time compute scaling.
arXiv:2605. 19662v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Tabular foundation models based on pretrained prior-data fitted networks~(PFNs) have shown strong generalization on diverse tabular tasks, but they are typically designed for \emph{non-strategic} settings where data distributions are independent of deployed classifiers.
arXiv:2609.37989v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models achieve strong zero-shot accuracy on structured data by pretraining on synthetic tables, but they ignore the column names, ta...
arXiv:2608.30086v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Credit-default prediction is an important task in financial decision making. Traditional methods use fitted classifiers such as logistic regression a...
arXiv:2609.37223v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Credit-risk prediction is important in banking, but a prediction alone does not explain why an applicant is risky or how it should be combined with oth...