arXiv:2608.21334v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short observational pricing panels often contain many observations but few distinct price movements. We evaluate the inferential consequences of th...
arXiv:2606. 16183v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We develop an LLM-powered virtual population model that simulates demand for pricing decisions, in settings where products are described by rich unstructured information, such as text descriptions and images, and where decision makers need not only mean-demand predictions but also uncertainty estimates for counterfactual prices.
Information systems researchers increasingly rely on quasi‑experimental methods such as difference‑in‑differences and instrumental variables to infer causal effects from observational panel data. A large Monte Carlo study of 9,837 parameter settings (≈9.8 million simulated datasets) shows that the gap between planned and achieved power is largely driven by serial correlation, panel attrition, staggered adoption bias, and parallel‑trend pre‑testing—factors that no closed‑form power calculator can fully capture. For IV designs, increasing sample size does not improve power or reduce exclusion bias unless instrument strength is enhanced, underscoring that identification hinges on the instrument rather than on larger N.
arXiv:2609.31570v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning has substantially accelerated the calibration of complex stochastic-volatility models, but neural point calibration alone does not captur...
The paper examines how retail intelligence, which often focuses on high‑velocity products, can suffer from selection bias that skews inflation estimates by overlooking niche items. Using 400 Monte Carlo simulations across four data‑generating scenarios, the authors compare Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) and stratification methods. They find that stratification generally outperforms IPW—achieving sub‑0.04 percentage‑point median error even when population breaks misalign—while IPW only excels under smooth polynomial relationships, highlighting the importance of method choice in long‑tail retail contexts.
arXiv:2607. 16230v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate pre-order shipping cost estimation is important in e-commerce because it affects price presentation, margin planning, and conversion.
arXiv:2601. 01279v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: When competing sellers delegate pricing to a shared AI model, such as a large language model, correlated recommendations combined with performance-driven updates aggregating seller feedback raise a key question: can standard AI deployment practices inadvertently produce supracompetitive pricing?
arXiv:2410.14839v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study the dynamic pricing problem faced by a broker seeking to learn prices for a large number of credit market securities, such as corpor...
arXiv:2607. 22313v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating contemporaneous bidirectional interactions from observational data is difficult because each outcome is endogenous to the other, while flexible regressions may capture only reduced-form dependence.
The paper introduces LLP, a Large Language Model–based generative framework for pricing second‑hand products on consumer‑to‑consumer platforms. LLP retrieves similar items to capture market dynamics, then uses LLMs to generate price suggestions, refined through supervised fine‑tuning and group relative policy optimization. A confidence‑based filter rejects unreliable predictions, and experiments show LLP outperforms prior methods, achieving higher static adoption rates when deployed on Xianyu.
arXiv:2606. 03736v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study resource-constrained dynamic pricing when the seller seeks revenue and valid inference about demand at a price fixed before the selling season.
CEDAR is a two‑stage framework for demand forecasting that incorporates planned actions and external event signals. Stage I uses an Action‑Interleaved Transformer to model controllable state transitions under interventions, while Stage II applies a Residual Correction Module that aligns event descriptions with product context using LLM‑assisted text representations. Experiments on a large Alibaba 1688 dataset show that CEDAR improves simulation accuracy over traditional time‑series forecasting baselines and benefits real‑world budget planning.