arXiv:2607. 22313v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating contemporaneous bidirectional interactions from observational data is difficult because each outcome is endogenous to the other, while flexible regressions may capture only reduced-form dependence.
arXiv:2511. 05050v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In this study, a scalable online kernel learning framework is proposed for estimating bidirectional causal effects in systems characterized by mutual dependence and heteroskedasticity.
arXiv:2606. 16219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twin modeling, including control and data assimilation under model uncertainty, often faces an open-ended fidelity problem: adding variables, data streams, and time scales can indefinitely increase model complexity, ultimately producing systems that are difficult to maintain, validate, interpret, and use for stress or safety testing.
arXiv:2608. 16340v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The combination of traditional statistical models and neural network (NN) components into semi-structured hybrid models is an intriguing approach to construct models that, ideally, combine traditional interpretability with the unprecedented flexibility of NNs.
arXiv:2607. 11310v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) provide a meshless approach for solving partial differential equations (PDEs), but suffer severe degradation in stiff and shock-dominated problems, where small PDE residuals can correspond to globally inaccurate solutions.
arXiv:2608. 01217v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Local-stochastic volatility (LSV) combines vanilla marginals with richer smile dynamics, but calibration requires a slow, noisy and sequential McKean--Vlasov fixed point.
Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) provide a meshless approach for solving partial differential equations (PDEs), but suffer severe degradation in stiff and shock-dominated problems, where small PDE residuals can correspond to globally inaccurate solutions. We show these failures are multi-causal, arising from the concurrent interplay of (i) spectral bias against sharp features, (ii) imbalanced multi-term optimization and loss-weight collapse, (iii) violation of temporal causality, and (iv) under-resolved collocation.
arXiv:2605. 12764v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper introduces a physics-informed generative framework that resolves the fundamental conflict between the statistical flexibility of deep learning and the rigorous theoretical constraints of fixed-income modeling.
arXiv:2608. 09071v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forward uncertainty propagation in complex physical systems can induce structured covariance across field-valued outputs.
arXiv:2606. 27711v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce a neural network-based framework for learning time series estimators through a process we term decision-theoretic pretraining.
arXiv:2604. 00915v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimation of heterogeneous long-term treatment effects (HLTEs) is relevant for personalized decision-making in marketing, economics, and medicine, where short-term observational datasets are often combined with long-term observational datasets.
arXiv:2502. 19049v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function.
arXiv:2606. 03184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial forecasting is difficult due to low signal-to-noise ratios, latent factors, heavy tails, regime shifts, and jumps.