CEDAR is a two‑stage framework for demand forecasting that incorporates planned actions and external event signals. Stage I uses an Action‑Interleaved Transformer to model controllable state transitions under interventions, while Stage II applies a Residual Correction Module that aligns event descriptions with product context using LLM‑assisted text representations. Experiments on a large Alibaba 1688 dataset show that CEDAR improves simulation accuracy over traditional time‑series forecasting baselines and benefits real‑world budget planning.
By Junjie Meng, Ranxu Zhang, Zi-an Zhang, Shujun Liu, Xiaoning Qi, Xiaozhou Xu, Yanyong Zhang, Hui Xiong, Chao Wang
arXiv:2606. 26787v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Traditional dynamic pricing models in large-scale e-commerce suffer from limited interpretability, poor utilization of unstructured information, and misalignment with long-term business objectives such as cumulative Gross Merchandise Value (GMV), Return on Investment (ROI) and milestone achievement.
By Chennan Ma, Yanning Zhang, Siqi Hong, Xiuchong Wang, Fei Xiao, Keping Yang
arXiv:2607. 13331v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retail demand forecasts are reused across replenishment, capacity, labor, and transportation planning cycles.
By Jize Li, Jiani He, Dishu Yang, Dingyan Shang, Jingjing Liu, Shiqi Huang
arXiv:2608. 12680v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Item demand forecasting is an integral component of store assortment optimization.
By Lakshya Garg, Deep Narayan Mishra, Swapnil Yadav, Haoan Wang, Sujal Alugubelli, Karthik Kumaran, Anupriya Sharma
arXiv:2609.13840v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: A contract-logistics spare-parts operator is paid on order-level service: an order counts only if every requested line is fulfilled, yet forecasters ar...
By Joo Ern Chin, Shih-Fen Cheng, Aldy Gunawan
arXiv:2505. 16319v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate demand estimation is critical for the retail business in guiding the inventory and pricing policies of perishable products.
By Yangyang Wang, Jiawei Gu, Li Long, Xin Li, Li Shen, Zhouyu Fu, Xiangjun Zhou, Xu Jiang
arXiv:2505. 16319v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate demand estimation is critical for the retail business in guiding the inventory and pricing policies of perishable products.
By Yangyang Wang, Jiawei Gu, Li Long, Xin Li, Li Shen, Zhouyu Fu, Xiangjun Zhou, Xu Jiang
arXiv:2606. 13741v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents the design, development, and implementation of a specialized forecast-then-optimize algorithmic pricing tool for sales campaigns in fashion e-commerce.
By Stefan Birr, Tobias Huelden, Mones Raslan, Adele Gouttes, Andreas Schmitt, Mateusz Koren, Johannes Stephan, Robert Streek, Manuel Kunz, Tim Januschowski
arXiv:2607. 07343v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Online truckload bid acceptance is a closed-loop stochastic decision problem in which a carrier or broker must, in real time, accept or reject a tendered load subject to operational feasibility, fleet repositioning costs, and opportunity cost against future demand.
By Aswin Chandrasekaran
The paper introduces two methods for modelling aggregated supply and demand curves in the EPEX SPOT Day‑Ahead market. The first is a low‑dimensional parametric approach that produces deterministic point forecasts using plateau levels, elastic‑region boundaries, polynomial coefficients, and XGBoost. The second is a high‑dimensional generative approach based on conditional Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models that samples plausible curves from price arrivals and volume‑increment marks, enabling analysis of price and volume sensitivity and price impact.
By Julian Gutierrez, Redouane Silvente
arXiv:2605. 12768v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Open time-series forecasting (TSF) benchmarks cover retail, energy, weather, and traffic, but supply-chain logistics remains underserved.
By Zhizhen Zhang, Hyemin Gu, Benjamin J. Zhang, Daniel Elenius, Michael Tyrrell, Theo J. Bourdais, Houman Owhadi, Markos A. Katsoulakis, Tuhin Sahai
arXiv:2607. 18530v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Supplier lead time forecasting is a central input to material requirements planning, inventory optimization, and supply chain risk management.
By Christopher Wang, Sebastien Ouellet, Behrouz Haji Soleimani, Ali Etemad