arXiv:2608.21334v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Short observational pricing panels can contain many observations while offering only a small number of distinct price movements. This paper studies the...
The paper examines how retail intelligence, which often focuses on high‑velocity products, can suffer from selection bias that skews inflation estimates by overlooking niche items. Using 400 Monte Carlo simulations across four data‑generating scenarios, the authors compare Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) and stratification methods. They find that stratification generally outperforms IPW—achieving sub‑0.04 percentage‑point median error even when population breaks misalign—while IPW only excels under smooth polynomial relationships, highlighting the importance of method choice in long‑tail retail contexts.
Information systems researchers increasingly rely on quasi‑experimental methods such as difference‑in‑differences and instrumental variables to infer causal effects from observational panel data. A large Monte Carlo study of 9,837 parameter settings (≈9.8 million simulated datasets) shows that the gap between planned and achieved power is largely driven by serial correlation, panel attrition, staggered adoption bias, and parallel‑trend pre‑testing—factors that no closed‑form power calculator can fully capture. For IV designs, increasing sample size does not improve power or reduce exclusion bias unless instrument strength is enhanced, underscoring that identification hinges on the instrument rather than on larger N.
arXiv:2607. 22313v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Estimating contemporaneous bidirectional interactions from observational data is difficult because each outcome is endogenous to the other, while flexible regressions may capture only reduced-form dependence.
arXiv:2609.23937v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Robust linear fits can resist response contamination yet remain too dense or unstable for useful global explanations. We propose penalized distillati...
arXiv:2608. 06940v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM judge panels are a standard evaluation tool, but prior work reports highly correlated panel errors: nine judges provide roughly the effective information of two independent ones, and aggregation closes only a small fraction of the gap.
arXiv:2601. 01279v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: When competing sellers delegate pricing to a shared AI model, such as a large language model, correlated recommendations combined with performance-driven updates aggregating seller feedback raise a key question: can standard AI deployment practices inadvertently produce supracompetitive pricing?
arXiv:2608. 11675v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Coupon campaigns seek to lift both conversion and revenue, but gross merchandise value (GMV) follows a deterministic funnel from conversion to conditional order value and is zero-inflated and heavy-tailed.
The paper introduces LLP, a Large Language Model–based generative framework for pricing second‑hand products on consumer‑to‑consumer platforms. LLP retrieves similar items to capture market dynamics, then uses LLMs to generate price suggestions, refined through supervised fine‑tuning and group relative policy optimization. A confidence‑based filter rejects unreliable predictions, and experiments show LLP outperforms prior methods, achieving higher static adoption rates when deployed on Xianyu.
arXiv:2301.12254v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Assortment optimization has received active explorations in the past few decades due to its practical importance. Despite the extensive liter...
The paper introduces “ℝD_{CF5}”, a probe‑based estimator that predicts the region‑wise gain of a dynamic ensemble over the best static blend in regression tasks under distribution shift. Across 12 benchmark dataset‑shift pairs, the estimator achieves a Spearman correlation of +0.98 with actual test gains, outperforming alternative diagnostics. The authors also present a Probe‑Validated Ensemble Selector that chooses between a static affine stacker and dynamic realizers, demonstrating risk reductions of up to 16% in prospective deployments.
arXiv:2607. 13314v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Tabular foundation models (TFMs) generate predictions on structured data via in-context learning, without task-specific estimation.