arXiv:2609.06085v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Understanding the joint dynamics of prices and trades is central to market microstructure, where returns and order flow interact through nonlinear an...
By Manuel Naviglio, Fabrizio Lillo
arXiv:2511. 05050v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In this study, a scalable online kernel learning framework is proposed for estimating bidirectional causal effects in systems characterized by mutual dependence and heteroskedasticity.
By Masahiro Tanaka
arXiv:2606. 16219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twin modeling, including control and data assimilation under model uncertainty, often faces an open-ended fidelity problem: adding variables, data streams, and time scales can indefinitely increase model complexity, ultimately producing systems that are difficult to maintain, validate, interpret, and use for stress or safety testing.
By Zongren Zou, Th\'eo Bourdais, Ricardo Baptista, Houman Owhadi
arXiv:2608. 16340v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The combination of traditional statistical models and neural network (NN) components into semi-structured hybrid models is an intriguing approach to construct models that, ideally, combine traditional interpretability with the unprecedented flexibility of NNs.
By Tom Splittgerber, Niklas Koenen, Marvin N. Wright, Werner Brannath
The paper examines the use of pre‑trained deep‑learning embeddings as covariates in economic analyses of unstructured data. It identifies two main challenges: the mismatch between training data/tasks of pre‑trained models and the target economic task, and the identification problem of the embedding function. The authors propose sufficient conditions—particularly a transferability criterion—to guarantee convergence, introduce a bootstrap test to assess transferability without re‑estimating embeddings, and apply the framework to various double‑machine‑learning settings, including an empirical study of labor‑supply elasticity on Amazon Mechanical Turk using job‑description embeddings.
By Yuya Shimizu
arXiv:2610.01935v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Text, images, and other rich covariates are increasingly compressed into AI-learned representations and then used as controls in causal analysis. We...
By Andres Aradillas Fernandez, Victor Chernozhukov, Carlos Cinelli, Sven Klaassen, Whitney Newey, Martin Spindler, Jan Teichert-Kluge, Suhas Vijaykumar