arXiv AI By Spandan Ghose Chowdhury

Selection Bias Correction in Retail Intelligence

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The paper examines how retail intelligence, which often focuses on high‑velocity products, can suffer from selection bias that skews inflation estimates by overlooking niche items. Using 400 Monte Carlo simulations across four data‑generating scenarios, the authors compare Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) and stratification methods. They find that stratification generally outperforms IPW—achieving sub‑0.04 percentage‑point median error even when population breaks misalign—while IPW only excels under smooth polynomial relationships, highlighting the importance of method choice in long‑tail retail contexts.

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