arXiv Machine Learning

Metropolis-Scale Resilient and Trustworthy Traffic Flow Inference Using Multi-Source Data

arXiv AI
Aug 24

RiskTraf: Risk-Extrapolated Residual Learning for Multi-Variate Traffic Flow Prediction

RiskTraf introduces a risk-extrapolated residual learning approach for multi-variate traffic flow prediction, leveraging raw flow, speed, and occupancy data from the new PEMSB-3V benchmark. The method freezes a trained spatio-temporal backbone and adds a lightweight residual head that learns from historical speed and occupancy to correct flow predictions across different traffic regimes. Experiments show consistent improvements over various backbones and outperform existing debiasing and distribution-shift adaptation techniques.

By Guangyu Wang, Zhidan Liu
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 21

Learning to Move Cities: Deep Meta-Models and Reinforcement Policies for Calibration and Control in Urban Networks

arXiv:2609.21945v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Urban transportation networks present complex optimization challenges spanning calibration of high-fidelity simulators and real-time operational contro...

By Adewumi Augustine Adepitan, Christopher J. Haruna, Oluwasegun Adegoke, Ayooluwatomiwa Ajiboye, Oluwatobi Oluwasakin
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 14

An Empirical Markov Chain Car-Following (MC-CF) Model

The paper introduces the Markov Chain Car‑Following (MC‑CF) model, an empirical probabilistic approach that represents car‑following as a Markov process and samples accelerations from empirical distributions within discretized state bins. Evaluation on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset shows that MC‑CF variants outperform physics‑based baselines and compete with modern data‑driven methods in both one‑step and open‑loop trajectory prediction. Zero‑shot transfer to the Naturalistic Phoenix dataset and microscopic ring‑road simulations demonstrate cross‑domain generalization and scalability, with the model reducing collisions and reproducing naturalistic shockwave propagation.

By Sungyong Chung, Yanlin Zhang, Nachuan Li, Dana Monzer, Alireza Talebpour
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

QoS-Aware Federated Learning for Multimodal In-Cabin Interaction in Smart Vehicles

The paper introduces FedQoS, an asynchronous federated learning framework designed for multimodal in‑cabin interaction in smart vehicles. It uses a two‑phase gating mechanism: a resource‑aware training gate that starts local learning only when sensing buffers and energy reserves meet safety thresholds, and a QoS‑aware transmission policy that gates uplink updates based on an efficiency score balancing model novelty, latency, and energy costs. Experiments on vehicular datasets show FedQoS achieves competitive personalized accuracy with only marginal loss compared to FedAvg, while reducing communication overhead by 76.7% and latency cost by 26.0%.

By Baran Can G\"ul, Mert Nak{\i}p, Nasser Jazdi, Michael Weyrich