VertiFuseX is a hybrid LSTM architecture that fuses multi‑scale temporal representations at the penultimate layer, stacking features from LSTM, Bi‑LSTM, and St‑LSTM branches and a parallel DNN stream. On 15 years of global equity index data, it reduces MAPE by 30‑54% and improves MAE and RMSE by over 40% compared to LSTM baselines, outperforming seven state‑of‑the‑art models across 33 metric‑dataset comparisons. The model is lightweight (675k parameters, 2.6 MB footprint) with 1.5 ms/sample inference latency and demonstrates robust, interpretable forecasting with reduced drawdowns in algorithmic trading simulations.
By Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay
arXiv:2504.06532v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Wind direction forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing wind energy production, but faces significant challenges due to the circular na...
By Hailong Shu, Weiwei Song, Yue Wang, Jiping Zhang
WaveletDiff is a diffusion-based framework that generates time series by training directly on wavelet coefficients, leveraging multi-resolution structure through level‑specific transformers and cross‑level attention with adaptive gating. The model incorporates Parseval‑theorem‑based energy constraints to preserve time‑frequency properties during diffusion. Experiments on six real‑world datasets from energy, finance, and neuroscience show that WaveletDiff outperforms several diffusion baselines and competes with the VAE/transformer‑based MSDformer, achieving lower discriminative and Context‑FID scores while using fewer parameters and less training time.
By Yu-Hsiang Wang, Olgica Milenkovic
arXiv:2608. 27076v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Algorithmic trading now represents a market exceeding $20 billion, where even marginal gains in signal robustness can translate into economically significant returns.
By Joshua Le Grice
arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).
By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares
arXiv:2608. 08825v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Foundation models for time series forecasting demonstrate impressive zero-shot generalization but often underperform on specialized domains such as high-frequency finance.
By Kasun Dewage, Suranadi De Silva, Shankhadeep Mondal
The paper explores tabular deep learning for equity signal generation, training five model classes on daily data from about 300 large‑cap US stocks over eleven years. By using Bayesian optimisation that targets trading performance across three distinct market regimes, the authors achieve regime‑robust hyperparameter selection, yielding out‑of‑sample signal precision above random and a Hybrid ensemble (XGBoost + TabNet) with an annualised return of 51.26% and a Sharpe ratio of 2.44. The study also finds that alternative data adds limited value beyond technical and fundamental features, and that the ensemble’s outperformance is driven by stock selection rather than market exposure.
arXiv:2606. 02886v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning weather models now match numerical weather prediction accuracy while running orders of magnitude faster, but produce deterministic forecasts without uncertainty estimates, a critical gap for high-stakes decisions during extreme weather events.
By Jose Marie Antonio Mi\~noza, Rex Gregor Laylo, Sebastian C. Iba\~nez
arXiv:2606. 17996v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Cyclicity and trend are important components of time series data and many studies based on cyclicity and trend have achieved good results in long-term time series forecasting.
By Bin Wang, Heming Yang, Jinfang Sheng
The paper introduces WDANet, a frequency‑aware forecasting framework that uses stationary wavelet decomposition, FiLM, and a dual‑branch encoder‑decoder to separately model trend and fluctuation components in typhoon gust prediction. Applied to offshore Western Pacific wind data, WDANet outperforms ECMWF‑HRES for short lead times, achieving higher accuracy within the first 6 hours and better RMSE/MAE during extreme wind events. The study suggests WDANet could improve offshore wind power operations, disaster warnings, and risk mitigation.
By Xuefei Wang, Tingyi Liu, Heng Zhang, Shengjun Zhang
arXiv:2606. 01339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Long-term time-series forecasting needs models that are accurate yet efficient enough for commodity hardware.
By Mirza Samad Ahmed Baiga, Syeda Anshrah Gillani
arXiv:2506.12809v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: The long horizon forecasting (LHF) problem has come up in the time series literature for over the last 35 years or so. This review covers aspects o...
By Hans Krupakar, Kandappan V A