arXiv AI

WaveHiTS: Wavelet-Enhanced Hierarchical Time Series Modeling for Wind Direction Nowcasting in Eastern Inner Mongolia

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Frequency-aware forecasting for short-term typhoon gust prediction

The paper introduces WDANet, a frequency‑aware forecasting framework that uses stationary wavelet decomposition, FiLM, and a dual‑branch encoder‑decoder to separately model trend and fluctuation components in typhoon gust prediction. Applied to offshore Western Pacific wind data, WDANet outperforms ECMWF‑HRES for short lead times, achieving higher accuracy within the first 6 hours and better RMSE/MAE during extreme wind events. The study suggests WDANet could improve offshore wind power operations, disaster warnings, and risk mitigation.

By Xuefei Wang, Tingyi Liu, Heng Zhang, Shengjun Zhang
arXiv AI
Sep 25

Neuralized Multi-Wavelet Decomposition for Time Series Classification and Forecasting

The paper introduces m-WCN, an end‑to‑end deep learning framework that neuralizes multi‑wavelet decomposition to jointly extract temporal patterns and frequency components from time series. Two task‑specific architectures built on m‑WCN—TFBC for classification and FTB for forecasting—are shown to outperform baseline models on 64 UCR datasets and seven forecasting benchmarks, achieving average improvements of nearly 20% in both tasks. The approach leverages trainable convolutional operators and orthogonality constraints to produce interpretable multi‑resolution representations.

By Xiaohan Jiang, Jingyuan Wang, Jiahao Ji, Yongyao Wang, Chen Yang, Junjie Wu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 24

Neuralized Multi-Wavelet Decomposition for Time Series Classification and Forecasting

The paper introduces m-WCN, an end‑to‑end deep learning framework that neuralizes multi‑wavelet decomposition to jointly extract temporal patterns and frequency components from time series. It enforces orthogonality constraints to produce interpretable multi‑resolution representations, and builds two task‑specific architectures—TFBC for classification and FTB for forecasting—on top of this foundation. Experiments on 64 UCR datasets and seven forecasting benchmarks show that TFBC and FTB outperform baseline models, achieving average improvements of about 20% in both classification and forecasting tasks.

arXiv AI
Jun 18

A Hybrid LSTM--Vision Transformer Architecture for Predicting HRRR Forecast Errors

arXiv:2606. 19026v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecast errors in high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems are often linked to unresolved planetary boundary layer (PBL) processes, convection, terrain-induced circulations, and other vertically structured atmospheric phenomena.

By David Aaron Evans, Jay C. Rothenberger, Kara J. Sulia, Nick P. Bassill, Chris D. Thorncroft
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 3

Varda-single-1.0: deterministic data-driven weather forecasting at 1 km resolution over Switzerland's complex topography

Varda‑single‑1.0 is a medium‑range, data‑driven weather prediction system designed for Switzerland’s Alpine region, delivering hourly deterministic forecasts at 1 km resolution and global forecasts at 31 km. It uses two independently trained stretched‑grid Graph Transformer models—an autoregressive forecaster and a temporal downscaler—trained through a curriculum that starts with ERA5 reanalysis, proceeds to a 20‑year regional reanalysis, and ends with fine‑tuning on operational analyses. Over a one‑year verification, Varda‑single matches or surpasses MeteoSwiss’s numerical weather prediction baselines for most key metrics, though it underestimates local wind peaks and produces smoother convective precipitation fields. whyItMatters":"The system demonstrates that high‑resolution machine‑learning models can rival traditional numerical weather prediction in complex terrain, offering a complementary tool for operational forecasting and research."

By Alberto Pennino, Francesco Zanetta, Michele Cattaneo, Claire Merker, Radi Radev, Jonas Bhend, Louis Frey, Hugues de Laroussilhe, Oph\'elia Miralles, Carlos Osuna, Daniele Nerini, Andreas Pauling, Daniel Hupp, Ulrich Hamann, Mary McGlohon, Marti Bosch, Luca Lanzilao, Marco Arpagaus, Lukas Jansing, Daniel Leuenberger, Mark A. Liniger, Katrin Ehlert, Matthew Chantry, H\aa{}vard Homleid Haugen, Gert Mertes, Ana Prieto Nemesio, Mario Santa Cruz, Jasper Wijnands, Gabriel Moldovan, Harrison Cook, Oliver Fuhrer