The paper explores tabular deep learning for equity signal generation, training five model classes on daily data from about 300 large‑cap US stocks over eleven years. By using Bayesian optimisation that targets trading performance across three distinct market regimes, the authors achieve regime‑robust hyperparameter selection, yielding out‑of‑sample signal precision above random and a Hybrid ensemble (XGBoost + TabNet) with an annualised return of 51.26% and a Sharpe ratio of 2.44. The study also finds that alternative data adds limited value beyond technical and fundamental features, and that the ensemble’s outperformance is driven by stock selection rather than market exposure.
VertiFuseX is a hybrid LSTM architecture that fuses multi‑scale temporal representations at the penultimate layer, stacking features from LSTM, Bi‑LSTM, and St‑LSTM branches and a parallel DNN stream. On 15 years of global equity index data, it reduces MAPE by 30‑54% and improves MAE and RMSE by over 40% compared to LSTM baselines, outperforming seven state‑of‑the‑art models across 33 metric‑dataset comparisons. The model is lightweight (675k parameters, 2.6 MB footprint) with 1.5 ms/sample inference latency and demonstrates robust, interpretable forecasting with reduced drawdowns in algorithmic trading simulations.
By Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay
The paper introduces the first multi‑horizon benchmark for forecasting resale prices of second‑hand electronics, comparing eleven statistical and deep learning models on a large Polish marketplace dataset covering 100+ smartphone and laptop models from January 2022 to March 2025. Across horizons from 1 to 365 days, N‑BEATS consistently outperforms all statistical baselines, achieving an 8.51% MAPE at 365 days versus 14.94% for the best baseline—a 43% reduction—while all models converge to about 0.72% MAPE for short horizons. A single N‑BEATS model trained for the 365‑day horizon generalizes to all shorter horizons, eliminating the need for horizon‑specific models, and N‑BEATS and N‑HiTS show superior hyperparameter stability.
By Mateusz Buczy\'nski, Micha{\l} Wo\'zniak, Konrad Kaczy\'nski, Anna Wr\'oblewska, Sebastian Kuk
arXiv:2605.28853v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction cos...
By Rahul Fernandes, Travis Desell
arXiv:2606. 09104v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) frameworks for portfolio optimization have shown promise for their ability to learn allocation rules dynamically from market data.
By Daniil Mikriukov (University of Liverpool, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Ruoyu Sun (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Angelos Stefanidis (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Jionglong Su (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Zhengyong Jiang (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University)
arXiv:2608. 11785v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong potential for financial analysis and trading, but direct trading remains challenging because the predictive capabilities required can vary across assets, decision fields, and market conditions.
By Chang Zhou, Xingtong Yu, Minbin Huang, Zhennan Wu, Yuan Fang, Hong Cheng, Xinming Zhang
arXiv:2610.03128v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Quantitative trading strategy design aims to discover trading programs from historical data that remain effective in future markets, which can be viewe...
By Chaoqun Yang, Qian Wang, Fengbin Zhu, Xinyu Lin, Bingsheng He, Roger Zimmermann, Tat-Seng Chua
arXiv:2605.18147v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Predictive models are central to credit risk management, where the accuracy of default-probability and loss estimates affects the profitability of...
By Bart Baesens, Andreas Goethals, Stefan Lessmann, Simon De Vos, Cristi\'an Bravo, David Martens, Victor Medina-Olivares, Christophe Mues, Maria Oskarsd\'ottir, Seppe vanden Broucke, Tony Van Gestel, Tim Verdonck, Wouter Verbeke
arXiv:2603.01820v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Forecasting financial asset returns is challenging due to low signal-to-noise ratios, non-stationarity and heavy-tailed distributions. We ben...
By Adir Saly-Kaufmann, Kieran Wood, Jan-Peter Calliess, Stefan Zohren
arXiv:2606. 04574v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study aims to determine whether the application of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) as a specialized execution overlay can enhance pair trading in highly volatile cryptocurrency markets.
By Damian Lebied\'z, Robert \'Slepaczuk
arXiv:2610.07006v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Learning effective representations helps characterize the structure and dynamics of equity markets from financial data with a low signal-to-noise ratio...
By Yizhi Luo, Jiahe Yi, Jianhui Zhang, Shuo Sun
arXiv:2606. 24575v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern finance relies heavily on complex machine learning models to find patterns in the stock market.
By Augusto Eiji Yamazaki, Hugo Garrido-Lestache Belinchon