arXiv:2603.01820v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Forecasting financial asset returns is challenging due to low signal-to-noise ratios, non-stationarity and heavy-tailed distributions. We ben...
By Adir Saly-Kaufmann, Kieran Wood, Jan-Peter Calliess, Stefan Zohren
The paper proposes a hybrid generative adversarial network (GAN) that combines a bi-directional LSTM and a CNN (Bi‑LSTM‑CNN) to generate synthetic financial data aligned with real market data. By preserving stock trend features, the model predicts future stock price movements across multiple markets (TSX, SHCOMP, S&P 500). Experiments show that this hybrid approach outperforms existing machine‑learning prototypes, and the study highlights gaps between investors and technical researchers.
By Wilfredo Tovar
arXiv:2510. 04487v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While accuracy is a critical requirement for time series forecasting, an equally important desideratum is reasonable forecast volatility across forecast creation dates (FCDs).
By Willa Potosnak, Malcolm Wolff, Mengfei Cao, Ruijun Ma, Tatiana Konstantinova, Dmitry Efimov, Michael W. Mahoney, Boris Oreshkin, Kin G. Olivares
arXiv:2606. 29347v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Adaptive Financial Transformer (AFT) is proposed for stock return prediction under non-stationary financial markets.
By Dishan Sarkar
arXiv:2605.28853v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction cos...
By Rahul Fernandes, Travis Desell
EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance) is a financial time‑series foundation model designed to overcome the limitations of existing models that rely on self‑attention and assume fully observed data. It replaces self‑attention with a causal 1D convolution for temporal mixing and a group‑aware pooling MLP for variate mixing, achieving linear‑time complexity. The model is pretrained on a large, diverse financial corpus and, through masked context augmentation, learns to handle missing data, ultimately topping the FinVerse benchmark across accuracy, ranking, and profitability metrics.
By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv:2609.14733v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Hybrid Deep Learning for equity index forecasting is limited by three problems: propagation of OHLCV noise into derived technical indicators (TIs), cha...
By Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay
arXiv:2608. 27076v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Algorithmic trading now represents a market exceeding $20 billion, where even marginal gains in signal robustness can translate into economically significant returns.
By Joshua Le Grice
arXiv:2609.04239v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: This technical report presents EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance), a financial time series foundation model (TSFM) tailored to financial...
By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
ResNLS is a hybrid neural model combining ResNet and LSTM to forecast stock prices by emphasizing dependencies between adjacent prices. The model uses the closing prices of the previous five trading days as input, achieving optimal performance and outperforming state‑of‑the‑art baselines by at least 20%. In back‑testing, a trading strategy based on ResNLS‑5 predictions mitigated losses during market declines and generated profits during upturns.
By Yuanzhe Jia, Ali Anaissi, Basem Suleiman
arXiv:2609.06085v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Understanding the joint dynamics of prices and trades is central to market microstructure, where returns and order flow interact through nonlinear an...
By Manuel Naviglio, Fabrizio Lillo
The paper introduces the first multi‑horizon benchmark for forecasting resale prices of second‑hand electronics, comparing eleven statistical and deep learning models on a large Polish marketplace dataset covering 100+ smartphone and laptop models from January 2022 to March 2025. Across horizons from 1 to 365 days, N‑BEATS consistently outperforms all statistical baselines, achieving an 8.51% MAPE at 365 days versus 14.94% for the best baseline—a 43% reduction—while all models converge to about 0.72% MAPE for short horizons. A single N‑BEATS model trained for the 365‑day horizon generalizes to all shorter horizons, eliminating the need for horizon‑specific models, and N‑BEATS and N‑HiTS show superior hyperparameter stability.
By Mateusz Buczy\'nski, Micha{\l} Wo\'zniak, Konrad Kaczy\'nski, Anna Wr\'oblewska, Sebastian Kuk