arXiv:2605. 15690v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate and efficient long-term multivariate time series forecasting requires capturing recurring temporal structure while keeping inference cheap across many variables and horizons.
By Qingyuan Yang, Dongyue Chen, Da Teng, Junhua Xiao, Jiaji Pan, Shizhuo Deng
arXiv:2608. 11623v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have spurred cross-modal solutions for time-series forecasting.
By Rentao Gu, Yihang Ding, Junjie Li, Yi Ding, Weijing Sang, Xiaoli Huo, Xin Qin, Yuefeng Ji
Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have spurred cross-modal solutions for time-series forecasting. However, existing methods rely heavily on textual prompts for modality alignment-introducing nontrivial computational overhead and failing to leverage the rich spectral dynamics inherent in time-series data.
arXiv:2606. 27282v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy.
By Lang Huang, Jinglue Xu, Luke Darlow
arXiv:2606. 01306v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While Transformer-based architectures have established themselves as a dominant paradigm in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), their core self-attention mechanism inherently functions as a low-pass filter, systematically smoothing out high-frequency signals vital for sharp local changes.
By Peng He, Yao Liu, Yanglei Gan, Run Lin, Yuxiang Cai, Qiao Liu
Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy. We take the opposite position: most of the gap can be closed at far lower cost by tuning preprocessing rather than scaling models.
arXiv:2608. 16098v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting faces a structural dilemma: sharing one temporal predictor across variables is parameter-efficient but forces heterogeneous variables through an identical history-to-future map, whereas learning an independent predictor per variable restores flexibility at a cost that grows with the product of variable count, context length, and horizon.
By Xiachong Lin, Du Yin, Hao Xue, Wen Hu, Imran Razzak, Arian Prabowo, Matthew Amos, Flora D. Salim
arXiv:2608. 04051v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time series are often governed by recurring patterns, but their dominant periods may vary across datasets, forecasting settings, and individual input windows.
By Jung Min Choi, Vijaya Krishna yalavarthi, Lars Schmidt-Thieme
arXiv:2606. 04074v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Adaptive patching is a recent and compelling proposal for time-series Transformers: allocate finer patches where the sequence looks locally informative.
By Federico Zucchi, Yi Xie, Chao Zhang, Keyuan Luo, Thomas Lampert, Ziyue Li
arXiv:2608. 09971v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Over the past few years, the rapid development of machine learning (ML) models for weather forecasting has produced deterministic models whose medium-range skill matches or exceeds that of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)'s high-resolution forecast (HRES).
By Minjong Cheon
arXiv:2606. 27908v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-term time series forecasting finds extensive applications in domains such as power demand, traffic flow, meteorological observation, and renewable energy dispatch.
By Wenchao Liu, Hongbing Wang, Youji Zhu, Xiaodong Liu, Xiangguang Xiong
arXiv:2606. 10868v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon autoregressive forecasting of oscillatory physical signals, such as seismograms, gravitational-wave strain, and similar wavefields is limited by error accumulation: as a causal model is fed its own outputs over hundreds of steps, small per-step errors compound into phase drift that pointwise metrics fail to detect.
By Waleed Esmail, Stuart Russell, Jana Klinge, Alexander Kappes, Christine Thomas