arXiv AI

FreqLite: A Lightweight Frequency-Decomposed Linear Model with Adaptive Reversible Normalization for Robust Long-Term Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 01339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Long-term time-series forecasting needs models that are accurate yet efficient enough for commodity hardware.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 12

FM-LLM: A frequency-enhanced mixture-of-experts framework for adapting LLMs to time series forecasting

Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have spurred cross-modal solutions for time-series forecasting. However, existing methods rely heavily on textual prompts for modality alignment-introducing nontrivial computational overhead and failing to leverage the rich spectral dynamics inherent in time-series data.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

FAiT: Frequency-Aware Inverted Transformer for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 01306v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While Transformer-based architectures have established themselves as a dominant paradigm in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), their core self-attention mechanism inherently functions as a low-pass filter, systematically smoothing out high-frequency signals vital for sharp local changes.

By Peng He, Yao Liu, Yanglei Gan, Run Lin, Yuxiang Cai, Qiao Liu
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 25

How Good Can Linear Models Be for Time-Series Forecasting?

Time-series forecasting research has been moving steadily toward larger architectures, from specialized transformers to general-purpose foundation models, on the assumption that capacity is what unlocks accuracy. We take the opposite position: most of the gap can be closed at far lower cost by tuning preprocessing rather than scaling models.

arXiv AI
1d ago

AsyTO: Asymmetric Temporal Operator for Parameter-Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2608. 16098v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting faces a structural dilemma: sharing one temporal predictor across variables is parameter-efficient but forces heterogeneous variables through an identical history-to-future map, whereas learning an independent predictor per variable restores flexibility at a cost that grows with the product of variable count, context length, and horizon.

By Xiachong Lin, Du Yin, Hao Xue, Wen Hu, Imran Razzak, Arian Prabowo, Matthew Amos, Flora D. Salim
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

When Do Autoregressive Sequence Models Forecast Physical Wavefields? A Controlled Study on Synthetic Seismograms

arXiv:2606. 10868v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-horizon autoregressive forecasting of oscillatory physical signals, such as seismograms, gravitational-wave strain, and similar wavefields is limited by error accumulation: as a causal model is fed its own outputs over hundreds of steps, small per-step errors compound into phase drift that pointwise metrics fail to detect.

By Waleed Esmail, Stuart Russell, Jana Klinge, Alexander Kappes, Christine Thomas