The paper introduces WDANet, a frequency‑aware forecasting framework that uses stationary wavelet decomposition, FiLM, and a dual‑branch encoder‑decoder to separately model trend and fluctuation components in typhoon gust prediction. Applied to offshore Western Pacific wind data, WDANet outperforms ECMWF‑HRES for short lead times, achieving higher accuracy within the first 6 hours and better RMSE/MAE during extreme wind events. The study suggests WDANet could improve offshore wind power operations, disaster warnings, and risk mitigation.
arXiv:2504.06532v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Wind direction forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing wind energy production, but faces significant challenges due to the circular na...
arXiv:2607. 27152v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate intraday forecasts of offshore wind are becoming increasingly important for power system operation and the integration of growing shares of offshore wind energy.
arXiv:2609.25505v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Rapid intensification (RI) remains one of the most consequential and difficult aspects of tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting. Although full-physics nu...
arXiv:2606. 09941v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Surface winds can vary substantially from one minute to the next, so there is scope for studying its variation on this fine time scale.
The paper introduces m-WCN, an end‑to‑end deep learning framework that neuralizes multi‑wavelet decomposition to jointly extract temporal patterns and frequency components from time series. Two task‑specific architectures built on m‑WCN—TFBC for classification and FTB for forecasting—are shown to outperform baseline models on 64 UCR datasets and seven forecasting benchmarks, achieving average improvements of nearly 20% in both tasks. The approach leverages trainable convolutional operators and orthogonality constraints to produce interpretable multi‑resolution representations.
The paper introduces m-WCN, an end‑to‑end deep learning framework that neuralizes multi‑wavelet decomposition to jointly extract temporal patterns and frequency components from time series. It enforces orthogonality constraints to produce interpretable multi‑resolution representations, and builds two task‑specific architectures—TFBC for classification and FTB for forecasting—on top of this foundation. Experiments on 64 UCR datasets and seven forecasting benchmarks show that TFBC and FTB outperform baseline models, achieving average improvements of about 20% in both classification and forecasting tasks.
arXiv:2606. 08563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While global data-driven models excel at predicting continuous atmospheric variables, three-dimensional hydrometeor forecasting remains challenging due to the zero-inflated, long-tailed distributions of these variables.
The study evaluates probabilistic AI weather models—GenCast, FourCastNet 3, and FGN—against the ECMWF IFS-ENS ensemble for tropical cyclone forecasting. Using new probabilistic metrics, the authors find that AI models, particularly FGN, outperform IFS-ENS in cyclone tracking, achieving better location scores for 90% of storms in 2025. The analysis also identifies intensity and spread limitations, model‑specific failure modes, and the influence of pretraining data, highlighting opportunities for targeted improvement.
arXiv:2607. 17095v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate short-term wind power forecasting is essential for grid stability and operational planning, yet remains challenging due to the complex interactions between atmospheric conditions and turbine dynamics.
BEAT (Balanced Frequency Adaptive Tuning) is a framework for long‑term time‑series forecasting that uses frequency‑specific error monitoring and adaptive gradient modulation. It introduces a Frequency‑Specific Monitor to compare predicted and target wavelet coefficients in a normalized space, and a Dynamical Gradient Balancer that assigns larger gradient weights to components with higher relative errors. Experiments on seven real‑world datasets demonstrate that BEAT achieves competitive performance against state‑of‑the‑art forecasting methods.
arXiv:2606. 02849v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Interval wind speed forecasting is essential for the efficient integration of wind energy into power systems, as it accounts for the inherent uncertainty of wind resources.
arXiv:2408. 11336v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Climate change stands as one of the most pressing global challenges of the twenty-first century, with far-reaching consequences such as rising sea levels, melting glaciers, and increasingly extreme weather patterns.