arXiv Machine Learning

Observation-driven correction of numerical weather prediction for marine winds

arXiv:2512. 03606v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

Deep Learning-Based Statistical Downscaling of Sea Surface Temperature Using a Residual Corrective Neural Network

arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.

By Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic, Nicole L. Jones, Matthew Rayson
arXiv AI
6d ago

AUWave: A Data-Driven Model for Reconstructing Significant Wave Heights Using Sparse Observations

AUWave is a hybrid deep‑learning framework that reconstructs high‑resolution regional significant wave height (SWH) fields from sparse buoy observations. By combining a station‑wise encoder with a multi‑scale U‑Net enhanced by self‑attention, it outperforms a baseline model, especially when more than one buoy is available, and identifies critical anchor stations through buoy ablation studies. Cross‑basin tests in the Atlantic and Pacific demonstrate the model’s robustness and portability, suggesting its applicability for operational ocean monitoring and data assimilation.

By Hongyuan Shi, Yilin Zhai, Ping Dong, Zaijin You, Chao Zhan, Qing Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 13

Earth observation embeddings are effective sub-grid descriptors for probabilistic weather downscaling

arXiv:2608. 12271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global weather reanalyses and forecasts resolve the evolving atmospheric state on coarse grids, but site-specific applications require predictions at arbitrary locations where near-surface conditions also depend on unresolved terrain and land-surface properties.

By Pedro Sousa (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Will Tebbutt (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge), Sadiq Jaffer (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Robin Young (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Anil Madhavapeddy (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Richard E. Turner (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 11

PCA-Enhanced Adaptive NVAR Framework for High-Resolution Sea Surface Temperature Forecasting in the East Sea

arXiv:2606. 12141v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate forecasting of sea surface temperature (SST) in regional seas such as the East Sea is crucial for monitoring marine ecosystems, assessing climate risks, managing fisheries, and conducting naval operations.

By Sherkhon Azimov, Susana L\'opez-Moreno, Eric Dolores-Cuenca, JinYong Choi, Sangil Kim
arXiv AI
Sep 2

Global Attention with Linear Complexity for Exascale Generative Data Assimilation in Earth System Prediction

The paper introduces STORM, a one‑stage generative AI framework that reformulates Earth system data assimilation as diffusion‑based Bayesian posterior sampling, replacing costly PDE ensemble forecasts with scalable AI inference. STORM employs a spatiotemporal transformer with a global‑attention algorithm that reduces computational complexity from quadratic to linear, enabling high‑resolution, long‑context modeling. The system scales to 74,400 GPUs on Frontier, achieving 96–99 % strong‑scaling efficiency and up to 6 ExaFLOPs sustained BF16 throughput, while supporting 32,768‑member ensembles for uncertainty quantification in just 34 seconds on 4,096 GPUs, and demonstrates improved hurricane tracking and climate reanalysis accuracy.

By Xiao Wang, Zezhong Zhang, Isaac Lyngaas, Hong-Jun Yoon, Jong-Youl Choi, Siming Liang, Janet Wang, Hristo G. Chipilski, Ashwin M. Aji, Feng Bao, Peter Jan van Leeuwen, Dan Lu, Guannan Zhang
arXiv AI
Jun 18

A Hybrid LSTM--Vision Transformer Architecture for Predicting HRRR Forecast Errors

arXiv:2606. 19026v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecast errors in high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems are often linked to unresolved planetary boundary layer (PBL) processes, convection, terrain-induced circulations, and other vertically structured atmospheric phenomena.

By David Aaron Evans, Jay C. Rothenberger, Kara J. Sulia, Nick P. Bassill, Chris D. Thorncroft