The paper introduces a lightweight deep learning framework that forecasts Brazilian soybean yields using only routine weather data and two simple static inputs (crop year and agro-environmental label). Across 20 seasons, transformer-based models achieved the highest accuracy, outperforming traditional ridge regression and a moving‑average baseline by nearly 48%. Ablation studies show that the static inputs and spatial expansion improve performance without adding complexity, and SHAP analysis highlights the importance of crop year and weather variables in driving yield variations.
By Fernando Dupin da Cunha Mello (Stricto Sensu Department, SENAI CIMATEC University, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil), Prashant Kumar (Global Centre for Clean Air Research), Erick G. Sperandio Nascimento (Stricto Sensu Department, SENAI CIMATEC University, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil)
The study evaluates crop‑yield forecasting methods for the 2012 Midwestern US drought, comparing non‑deep learning machine learning models with a deep learning model (VITA) using 16 meteorological predictors. It highlights challenges such as distributional dissimilarity between training and test data, spatial and temporal sparsity, and demonstrates that sample weighting and feature selection improve non‑deep learning models but not VITA. The work contrasts deep versus non‑deep learning approaches and shows how modifications can mitigate issues arising from extreme drought conditions.
By Shrey Gupta, Yi Ming, George Mohler
arXiv:2510. 22863v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable long-term forecasting of PM2.
By Amirali Ataee Naeini, Arshia Ataee Naeini, Fatemeh Karami Mohammadi, Omid Ghaffarpasand
arXiv:2506.12809v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: The long horizon forecasting (LHF) problem has come up in the time series literature for over the last 35 years or so. This review covers aspects o...
By Hans Krupakar, Kandappan V A
The paper introduces KAINN, a hybrid neural‑mechanistic model that augments the Agriculture‑informed Neural Network with domain knowledge on fertilizer diffusion, soil respiration, and water‑filled porosity to predict nitrous oxide emissions from agriculture. Experiments across CNN, LSTM, and Transformer architectures show that KAINN achieves lower root mean square error, lower mean absolute error, and higher R-squared values compared to purely data‑driven models and the original AINN. The learned interfaces exhibit smoother, more physically consistent parameter trajectories with reduced uncertainty.
By Ci Lin, Futong Li, Rose Chong-Wu, Tet Yeap, Iluju Kiringa
arXiv:2606. 19026v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Forecast errors in high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems are often linked to unresolved planetary boundary layer (PBL) processes, convection, terrain-induced circulations, and other vertically structured atmospheric phenomena.
By David Aaron Evans, Jay C. Rothenberger, Kara J. Sulia, Nick P. Bassill, Chris D. Thorncroft
arXiv:2607. 04117v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: ERA5 seasonal climate variables contain predictive information about future glacier retreat beyond what satellite imagery alone provides, yet existing deep learning methods focus on mapping current boundaries rather than forecasting future ones.
By Arunkumar Ramachandran
The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine modern deep‑learning models for time‑series forecasting of smart‑meter energy consumption, evaluated on two publicly available datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point and that accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational complexity, showing that lightweight architectures achieve similar performance to heavier models, and notes that model choice has limited impact across most demographic and household subgroups.
By Behnaz Kavoosighafi, Maria Eidenskog, Wiktoria Glad, Katerina Vrotsou
IRENE is a deep learning model that provides probabilistic short‑range precipitation nowcasts over Italy at 1 km spatial and 5‑minute temporal resolution. It uses an encoder–forecaster architecture built on multi‑scale Convolutional Gated Recurrent Units (ConvGRUs) and is trained on national radar composites, with an importance‑sampling scheme and the almost‑fair Continuous Ranked Probability Score as its primary loss. Three training variants—standard, adversarial (IRENE‑GAN), and spectrally constrained (IRENE‑GAN‑RAPSD)—outperform benchmark methods STEPS and DGMR in probabilistic skill, though the advantage in mean absolute error is limited to the first 90 minutes.
By Alessandro Camilletti, Gabriele Franch, Elena Tomasi, Marco Cristoforetti
arXiv:2504.06532v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Wind direction forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing wind energy production, but faces significant challenges due to the circular na...
By Hailong Shu, Weiwei Song, Yue Wang, Jiping Zhang
arXiv:2605. 13566v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key variable for various applications, such as urban climate and ecology studies.
By Solomiia Kurchaba, Angela Meyer
GenONet introduces a Spatio-Temporal U-DeepONet architecture that serves as a generator in a GAN framework for high‑resolution precipitation nowcasting up to three hours ahead. By learning continuous‑time precipitation dynamics with a Deep Operator Network and enforcing physics through a moisture‑conservation loss, the model produces sharp, physically consistent forecasts that outperform baselines, especially for high‑intensity events and longer lead times. Ablation studies confirm the added value of the physics‑informed regularizer and the synergy of operator learning with adversarial training.
By Mohammad Kian Golkar, Luciano Alves de Oliveira, Mohammad Khanjani