arXiv Machine Learning

How Early Is Early Enough? Design-Dependent Observation-Window Sufficiency in Subscription Churn Prediction

arXiv:2607. 00473v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: How many days of early behavior suffice for subscription churn prediction?

arXiv Machine Learning
6d ago

Certifying What Helps Customer-Return Timing: A Screen-and-Confirm Test for Conditioning Signals, and Why Decay Is Nearly Enough

arXiv:2608. 11555v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Practitioners enrich customer-return models with ever more signals (lifetime value, category, recency/frequency, calendar, geography), and the temporal-point-process (TPP) literature follows suit with covariate- and external-covariate-conditioned intensities.

By Sang Su Lee, Vineeth Loganathan, Shishir Dash, Vijay Raghavan
arXiv AI
Jun 2

ChurnNet: A Optimized Modern AI for Churn Prediction

arXiv:2606. 00169v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Increased competition and the growing similarity of products and services offered by retailers have lowered the barriers for customers to switch to competitors.

By Syed Saad Saif, Giulio Maggiore, Paolo Russo, Damiano Distante
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Benchmark Datasets for Lead-Lag Forecasting on Social Platforms

arXiv:2511. 03877v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Social and collaborative platforms emit multivariate time-series traces in which early interactions -- such as views, likes, or downloads -- are followed, sometimes months or years later, by higher impact like citations, sales, or reviews.

By Kimia Kazemian (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Zhenzhen Liu (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Yangfanyu Yang (Department of Information Science, Cornell University), Katie Luo (Department of Computer Science, Stanford University), Shuhan Gu (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Audrey Du (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Xinyu Yang (Department of Information Science, Cornell University), Jack Jansons (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Kilian Q. Weinberger (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), John Thickstun (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Yian Yin (Department of Information Science, Cornell University), Sarah Dean (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

Benchmarking Waitlist Mortality Prediction in Heart Transplantation Through Time-to-Event Modeling using New Longitudinal UNOS Dataset

arXiv:2507. 07339v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Decisions about managing patients on the heart transplant waitlist are currently made by committees of doctors who consider multiple factors, but the process remains largely ad-hoc.

By Yingtao Luo, Reza Skandari, Carlos Martinez, Arman Kilic, Rema Padman