arXiv:2604. 08874v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This study proposes a temporal modeling framework with a counterfactual policy-simulation layer for student dropout in higher education, using LMS engagement data and administrative withdrawal records.
By Rafael da Silva, Jeff Eicher, Gregory Longo
arXiv:2606. 03689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Survival Analysis (SA) is a statistical framework that models the time span until some event of interest occurs.
By Mariana Vargas Vieyra
arXiv:2606. 12006v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predicting time-to-event outcomes such as mortality is a fundamental task in clinical decision-making, commonly addressed through survival analysis.
By Minh-Khoi Pham, Luca Cotugno, Alina Sirbu, Tai Tan Mai, Martin Crane, Marija Bezbradica
arXiv:2601. 22259v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end before the event of interest occurs.
By Da In Kim, Wei Siang Lai, Kelly W. Zhang
arXiv:2607. 10466v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Survival models can model time-to-event outcomes using partially observed data.
By Yanqi Xu, Hui Dai, Carlos Fernandez-Granda, Krzysztof J. Geras, Yiqiu Shen
arXiv:2606. 04564v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Tabular foundation models (TFMs) have made rapid progress in standard classification and regression, but time-to-event survival prediction tasks have remained largely untouched.
By Samuel B\"ohm (Institute of Epidemiology and Prevention, Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany), Lennart Purucker (Department of Computer Science, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany, PriorLabs, Freiburg, Germany), Frank Hutter (Department of Computer Science, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany, PriorLabs, Freiburg, Germany), Pascal Schlosser (Institute of Epidemiology and Prevention, Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany, Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, US, CIBSS - Centre for Integrative Biological Signalling Studies, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany)
arXiv:2606. 13880v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate estimation of long-term care transition probabilities is central to disability insurance pricing, reserving, and solvency assessment.
By Bright Kwaku Manu, Beckett Sterner, Petar Jevtic
arXiv:2212. 05260v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Proper scoring rules encourage probabilistic predictions that match the true underlying distribution and are central to model evaluation, with increasing relevance in automated workflows such as AutoML.
By John Zobolas, Raphael Sonabend, Riccardo De Bin, Johannes Piller, Philipp Kopper, Lukas Burk, Andreas Bender
arXiv:2608. 01587v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Machine-learning benchmarks often pair a label that aggregates a long temporal horizon with input observed through one or a few short windows.
By Xizhe Zhang
arXiv:2606. 23871v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Survival analysis is central to clinical decision-making, yet reliable time-to-event models require large, diverse cohorts that are rarely available at a single institution, while privacy regulations restrict the centralization of patient data.
By Natalia Moreno-Blasco, Anusha Ihalapathirana, Pekka Siirtola, Miguel Fernandez-de-Retana
arXiv:2608. 16914v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital learning platforms generate rich behavioural traces (digital markers) that offer the potential to identify struggling students early.
By Lighton Phiri, Mutune Chaibela, Ivy Chisha, David Pungwa, Danny Siabbaba, Bydon Simukoko
arXiv:2607. 28567v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Longitudinal causal studies often record histories as irregular functional fragments: laboratory values, physiologic signals, sensor streams, and image-derived summaries measured at unequal and informative times.
By Mengfei Ran, Yifeng Shen, Ruijie Guan