arXiv AI By Deddy Jobson

Estimating the Effect of Timing on Coupon Effectiveness

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arXiv:2606. 30664v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The coupon incentive is one of the most common tools marketers use to court users to engage with a business at various stages of the customer life cycle.

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arXiv AI
3d ago

Always-On Experimentation

arXiv:2609.38695v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generative AI has dramatically accelerated the rate at which new treatments---from novel pharmaceuticals to online marketing campaigns---can be conce...

By Ricardo J. Sandoval, David Arbour, Avi Feller, Michael I. Jordan
arXiv AI
4d ago

Challenges and Solutions for Bandits in the Wild: Warm-Started Mixture Bandits for Cross-Cohort Slate Recommendation

arXiv:2609.37800v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Many recommender services repeatedly encounter cold-start cohorts, where new users arrive with little or no interaction history. This creates two cha...

By Serafima Lebedeva, Sumantrak Mukherjee, Ali Arshad Sadal, Ilias Ek\c{s}i, Rahul Sharma, Julia Mueller, Theresa Dombrowski, Jakob Karolus, Viktor Bengs, Eyke H\"ullermeier, Sebastian Vollmer
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 31

Budget-Constrained Causal Bandits: Bridging Uplift Modeling and Sequential Decision-Making

The paper introduces Budget-Constrained Causal Bandits (BCCB), an online framework that learns individual treatment effects, explores uncertain users, and manages budget pacing simultaneously. It derives a per-arrival decision rule from a KKT condition of a Lagrangian relaxation, providing a principled algorithmic foundation. Experiments on the Criteo Uplift dataset show BCCB outperforms offline pipelines and other online baselines, especially when historical data is scarce (below 7,500 observations).

By Abhirami Pillai
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 13

Certifying What Helps Customer-Return Timing: A Screen-and-Confirm Test for Conditioning Signals, and Why Decay Is Nearly Enough

arXiv:2608. 11555v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Practitioners enrich customer-return models with ever more signals (lifetime value, category, recency/frequency, calendar, geography), and the temporal-point-process (TPP) literature follows suit with covariate- and external-covariate-conditioned intensities.

By Sang Su Lee, Vineeth Loganathan, Shishir Dash, Vijay Raghavan