Wavelet-based financial forecasters typically use the transform only to denoise, or reduce it to a single spectral snapshot at the forecast origin, and the convolution that produces the coefficients i...
arXiv:2609.14733v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Hybrid Deep Learning for equity index forecasting is limited by three problems: propagation of OHLCV noise into derived technical indicators (TIs), cha...
By Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay
arXiv:2606. 24062v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial time series forecasting presents structural challenges absent from standard benchmarks.
By Cheng He, Zhenyu Guan, Xijie Liang, Defu Lian, Jiajia Li, Enhong Chen, Patrick P. C. Lee, Geng Hu, Zehao Chen
arXiv:2609. 20193v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retrieval plug-ins supply a deep forecaster with information its lookback window cannot carry.
By Mert Onur Cakiroglu, Elham Buxton, Mehmet Dalkilic, Hasan Kurban
arXiv:2608. 16098v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting faces a structural dilemma: sharing one temporal predictor across variables is parameter-efficient but forces heterogeneous variables through an identical history-to-future map, whereas learning an independent predictor per variable restores flexibility at a cost that grows with the product of variable count, context length, and horizon.
By Xiachong Lin, Du Yin, Hao Xue, Wen Hu, Imran Razzak, Arian Prabowo, Matthew Amos, Flora D. Salim
arXiv:2605. 15690v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate and efficient long-term multivariate time series forecasting requires capturing recurring temporal structure while keeping inference cheap across many variables and horizons.
By Qingyuan Yang, Dongyue Chen, Da Teng, Junhua Xiao, Jiaji Pan, Shizhuo Deng
VertiFuseX is a hybrid LSTM architecture that fuses multi‑scale temporal representations at the penultimate layer, stacking features from LSTM, Bi‑LSTM, and St‑LSTM branches and a parallel DNN stream. On 15 years of global equity index data, it reduces MAPE by 30‑54% and improves MAE and RMSE by over 40% compared to LSTM baselines, outperforming seven state‑of‑the‑art models across 33 metric‑dataset comparisons. The model is lightweight (675k parameters, 2.6 MB footprint) with 1.5 ms/sample inference latency and demonstrates robust, interpretable forecasting with reduced drawdowns in algorithmic trading simulations.
By Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay
The paper introduces Chameleon, a channel‑dependent state space model for multivariate time series forecasting that allows data‑dependent, fine‑grained interactions across variables while maintaining linear scaling with the number of variables. By integrating selective state space models with a Kalman filter and adapting GatedDeltaNet as the backbone, Chameleon improves generalization and achieves lower MSE and MAE on strongly dependent ODE and PEMS datasets compared to both channel‑independent and prior channel‑dependent methods. Across 28 benchmark settings, it outperforms baselines in the majority of cases and demonstrates competitive training‑time and memory efficiency on Traffic and ETT datasets.
By Yu-Cheng Wu, Fan-Keng Sun, Li-Chun Lu, Duane S. Boning
arXiv:2606. 03184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial forecasting is difficult due to low signal-to-noise ratios, latent factors, heavy tails, regime shifts, and jumps.
By Jiaze Sun, Kelvin J. L. Koa, Ruiyang Ni, Yize Liu, Haonan Chen, Ke-Wei Huang
arXiv:2606. 01339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Long-term time-series forecasting needs models that are accurate yet efficient enough for commodity hardware.
By Mirza Samad Ahmed Baiga, Syeda Anshrah Gillani
arXiv:2609.25777v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Accurate multi-step traffic forecasting remains challenging because observed traffic signals contain heterogeneous temporal dynamics with different cha...
By Zijun Huang, Chenrui Fu, Wenhao Wang, Xiaochuan Gou, Chih-Chieh Hung, Guanyao Li
arXiv:2610.07825v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Time series forecasting models are typically compared on pointwise error, which scores a prediction in isolation from the decision it is produced for...
By Jonathan Chang, Zimeng Lyu