Time-series foundation models are evaluated almost exclusively on public archives that predate them, so a strong score cannot be separated from having seen the test set during pretraining. The obvious...
arXiv:2607. 12248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large pretrained time-series models such as TimesFM are attractive for financial forecasting, but raw directional accuracy is a misleading scoreboard in equity markets.
By Taizhen Cheung, SA Kwon
arXiv:2609.39386v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Pretrained time-series foundation models (TSFMs) are evaluated as forecasters of future values, yet for sparse series many decisions depend only on whi...
By Daniel Schoess, Florian von Wangenheim
arXiv:2607. 13006v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A growing family of indices scores how predictable a series is from its spectrum.
By Mert Onur Cakiroglu, Mehmet Dalkilic, Hasan Kurban
arXiv:2609.36281v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Deep forecasters predict from a fixed-length lookback window, and lengthening it gives diminishing returns at a growing cost. Retrieval augmentation in...
By Vincent Uhse
arXiv:2608. 05571v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retrieval-augmented forecasting promises to adapt frozen Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) to new domains without fine-tuning, but recent methods typically rely on learned fusion modules, i.
By Mohammad Asadi, Soheil Hor, Bardiya Akhbari, Jack W. O'Sullivan, Tahoura Nedaee, Layne C. Price, Raviteja Anantha, Euan Ashley, Ehsan Adeli