Time-series foundation models are evaluated almost exclusively on public archives that predate them, so a strong score cannot be separated from having seen the test set during pretraining. The obvious...
arXiv:2607. 12248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large pretrained time-series models such as TimesFM are attractive for financial forecasting, but raw directional accuracy is a misleading scoreboard in equity markets.
By Taizhen Cheung, SA Kwon
arXiv:2607. 13006v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A growing family of indices scores how predictable a series is from its spectrum.
By Mert Onur Cakiroglu, Mehmet Dalkilic, Hasan Kurban
arXiv:2608. 05571v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retrieval-augmented forecasting promises to adapt frozen Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) to new domains without fine-tuning, but recent methods typically rely on learned fusion modules, i.
By Mohammad Asadi, Soheil Hor, Bardiya Akhbari, Jack W. O'Sullivan, Tahoura Nedaee, Layne C. Price, Raviteja Anantha, Euan Ashley, Ehsan Adeli
arXiv:2607. 19383v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Pretrained generative foundation models cast forecasting as conditional generation from a learned predictive distribution and forecast unseen series zero-shot.
By Ahmed Cherif
arXiv:2609.23686v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Patch-based autoregressive time-series forecasting often ties input representation, learned transitions, and recursive execution to one patch length. W...
By Ziang Li, Yue Huang, Guoxu Zhou, Na Han, Jie Wen, Lunke Fei, Xiaozhao Fang