arXiv AI

RAVEN: A Regime-Aware Variable-context Expert Network for Financial Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 24062v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial time series forecasting presents structural challenges absent from standard benchmarks.

arXiv AI
Sep 7

EXAONE Forecast for Finance

EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance) is a financial time‑series foundation model designed to overcome the limitations of existing models that rely on self‑attention and assume fully observed data. It replaces self‑attention with a causal 1D convolution for temporal mixing and a group‑aware pooling MLP for variate mixing, achieving linear‑time complexity. The model is pretrained on a large, diverse financial corpus and, through masked context augmentation, learns to handle missing data, ultimately topping the FinVerse benchmark across accuracy, ranking, and profitability metrics.

By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv AI
Sep 10

EXAONE Finance 1.0: An Attention-free Time Series Foundation Model for Financial Time Series

arXiv:2609.04239v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This technical report presents EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance), a financial time series foundation model (TSFM) tailored to financial...

By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

FAME: Forecastability-Aware Mixture of Experts for Heterogeneous Time Series Forecasting

Large-scale retail and industrial forecasting systems contain many heterogeneous time series whose lifecycle, sparsity, volatility, seasonality, spectral patterns, and contextual sensitivity differ substantially. A single forecasting model rarely performs well across all regimes, while dense ensembles increase inference cost and provide limited insight into expert suitability.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

FinTSB: A Comprehensive and Practical Benchmark for Financial Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2502. 18834v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Financial time series (FinTS) record the behavior of human-brain-augmented decision-making, capturing valuable historical information that can be leveraged for profitable investment strategies.

By Yifan Hu, Yuante Li, Peiyuan Liu, Yuxia Zhu, Naiqi Li, Tao Dai, Shu-tao Xia, Dawei Cheng, Changjun Jiang
arXiv AI
Aug 5

FinVerse: Financial Time-Series Benchmark

arXiv:2608. 03259v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As time-series foundation models have emerged, the need for benchmarks that can evaluate their forecasting ability in meaningful ways has become increasingly important.

By Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Seunghan Lee, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 14

VertiFuseX: Generalizable Financial Forecasting via Multi-Stream Temporal Fusion

VertiFuseX is a hybrid LSTM architecture that fuses multi‑scale temporal representations at the penultimate layer, stacking features from LSTM, Bi‑LSTM, and St‑LSTM branches and a parallel DNN stream. On 15 years of global equity index data, it reduces MAPE by 30‑54% and improves MAE and RMSE by over 40% compared to LSTM baselines, outperforming seven state‑of‑the‑art models across 33 metric‑dataset comparisons. The model is lightweight (675k parameters, 2.6 MB footprint) with 1.5 ms/sample inference latency and demonstrates robust, interpretable forecasting with reduced drawdowns in algorithmic trading simulations.

By Aashish Bohra, Vivek Vijay
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 13

TradingMoE: Routing the Right Experts in Evolving Markets

arXiv:2608. 11785v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong potential for financial analysis and trading, but direct trading remains challenging because the predictive capabilities required can vary across assets, decision fields, and market conditions.

By Chang Zhou, Xingtong Yu, Minbin Huang, Zhennan Wu, Yuan Fang, Hong Cheng, Xinming Zhang