arXiv:2606. 01339v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Long-term time-series forecasting needs models that are accurate yet efficient enough for commodity hardware.
By Mirza Samad Ahmed Baiga, Syeda Anshrah Gillani
arXiv:2606. 01306v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While Transformer-based architectures have established themselves as a dominant paradigm in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), their core self-attention mechanism inherently functions as a low-pass filter, systematically smoothing out high-frequency signals vital for sharp local changes.
By Peng He, Yao Liu, Yanglei Gan, Run Lin, Yuxiang Cai, Qiao Liu
Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have spurred cross-modal solutions for time-series forecasting. However, existing methods rely heavily on textual prompts for modality alignment-introducing nontrivial computational overhead and failing to leverage the rich spectral dynamics inherent in time-series data.
arXiv:2608. 11623v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have spurred cross-modal solutions for time-series forecasting.
By Rentao Gu, Yihang Ding, Junjie Li, Yi Ding, Weijing Sang, Xiaoli Huo, Xin Qin, Yuefeng Ji
arXiv:2606. 06010v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Long-term time series forecasting benefits from inductive biases that expose recurring temporal structure.
By Zhangyao Song, Ziqiong Li, Xiangfei Qiu, Chao Zha, Yinfei Xu, Tao Guo
arXiv:2608. 04051v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time series are often governed by recurring patterns, but their dominant periods may vary across datasets, forecasting settings, and individual input windows.
By Jung Min Choi, Vijaya Krishna yalavarthi, Lars Schmidt-Thieme
The paper introduces CoSPOT, an online time series forecasting framework that uses a frozen pre‑trained large language model (LLM) as the core forecaster. CoSPOT adapts to evolving data by applying compositional spectral prompts—frequency‑domain basis prompts weighted by their amplitudes—allowing the model to represent unseen patterns as new combinations of learned bases while updating few parameters. Experiments on real‑world datasets show CoSPOT’s effectiveness in extended online phases and cross‑dataset scenarios with significant distribution shifts.
By Seungyoon Choi, Hyunchul Kim, Jae-Gil Lee, Chanyoung Park
arXiv:2608. 20052v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic time series forecasting remains challenging, largely because modeling distinct trend and seasonal dynamics requires specialized approaches.
By Alexander Marusov, Dmitry Anikin, Alexey Zaytsev
The paper introduces Chameleon, a channel‑dependent state space model for multivariate time series forecasting that allows data‑dependent, fine‑grained interactions across variables while maintaining linear scaling with the number of variables. By integrating selective state space models with a Kalman filter and adapting GatedDeltaNet as the backbone, Chameleon improves generalization and achieves lower MSE and MAE on strongly dependent ODE and PEMS datasets compared to both channel‑independent and prior channel‑dependent methods. Across 28 benchmark settings, it outperforms baselines in the majority of cases and demonstrates competitive training‑time and memory efficiency on Traffic and ETT datasets.
By Yu-Cheng Wu, Fan-Keng Sun, Li-Chun Lu, Duane S. Boning
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv:2607. 08234v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-world time series exhibit complex dynamics characterized by multiple simultaneous temporal patterns: short-term fluctuations, periodic seasonal cycles, long-term trends, and irregular abrupt changes.
By Sumit Satishrao Shevtekar, Chandresh Kumar Maurya
The paper introduces CoSPOT, an LLM-based framework for online time series forecasting that uses compositional spectral prompts to adapt to non‑stationary environments. By keeping the large language model frozen and updating only spectral basis prompts derived from frequency‑domain decompositions, CoSPOT efficiently handles long‑term adaptation and unseen patterns. Experiments on real‑world datasets show its effectiveness in extended online phases and cross‑dataset scenarios with significant distribution shifts.