arXiv:2608. 07795v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Prediction intervals for multi-modal regression with tabular variables, text, images, or other input sources are difficult to calibrate when those sources disagree or one is missing.
arXiv:2608. 07183v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multimodal fusion architectures typically assume all modalities are available at inference, yet sensor failures, acquisition variability, and cost constraints routinely produce incomplete observations.
arXiv:2608. 01460v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) is a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification that has recently been adapted to large language models (LLMs), providing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees under exchangeability.
arXiv:2607. 16675v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A point prediction that is well calibrated on average can still be systematically biased conditional on its own value, undermining its use in downstream decision-making.
arXiv:2505. 08784v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: As machine learning (ML) enters high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for safety.
arXiv:2608. 06206v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Conformal prediction endows arbitrary black-box predictors with finite-sample, distribution-free marginal coverage, yet marginal validity can hide severe covariate-specific miscalibration, while exact distribution-free conditional coverage is finite-sample unattainable.
arXiv:2511.15146v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction (CP) constructs uncertainty sets for model outputs with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Yet ranking scores is straightforwa...
arXiv:2608. 05608v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal classification typically assumes all modalities are available, yet real-world inputs are often incomplete.
arXiv:2609.17091v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multi-target regression requires a model to simultaneously predict several related outputs. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free, finite-sam...
Cross-modal alignment (CA) and cross-modal prediction (CP) are the dominant paradigms for multimodal representation learning, yet there is no systematic understanding of when each succeeds, when each fails, and when cross-modal training helps at all -- a gap that leaves practitioners, especially in scientific domains like biomedicine or astrophysics, with heterogeneous instruments and multiple levels of organization and measurement, unable to diagnose why standard methods underperform the best single modality. We develop a unified linear framework that addresses both questions.
arXiv:2608.23744v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Split conformal prediction, not the pruning rule, supplies finite-sample marginal coverage once a pruned model is fixed independently of the conformal...
arXiv:2604.22391v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The Super Learner (SL) is a widely used ensemble method that combines point predictions from a library of learners based on their predictive...
SimplexUQ introduces the first benchmark and reproducible protocol for evaluating how conformal prediction wrappers allocate coverage across simplex‑valued predictions. The framework, called SimplexTasks‑12, combines six synthetic regimes and six real tasks (e.g., class probabilities, topic mixtures, spectral abundances) to compare existing wrappers on metrics such as marginal coverage, worst‑stratum coverage, max disparity, and computational cost. Empirical results show that no single wrapper consistently dominates, with Mondrian and BatchMVP performing best in different settings, and that removing predictor bias only partially mitigates disparity.