arXiv AI

Towards Efficient and Evidence-grounded Mobility Prediction with LLM-Driven Agent

arXiv:2606. 05130v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Individual-level mobility prediction is central to urban simulation, transportation planning, and policy analysis.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 2

Do LLMs Know Your Neighborhood? Auditing LLM Priors for Neighborhood-Level Mobility Prediction and Structural Alignment

The study investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can predict neighborhood-level human mobility without training data. Using anonymized Cuebiq data across four U.S. metropolitan areas, the authors compare zero‑shot LLM predictions to supervised baselines for various mobility outcomes and assess structural alignment with empirical trends. Results show supervised models outperform LLMs (average accuracy 0.580 vs. 0.435), with LLMs relying on coarse, stable priors that may exhibit biased treatment of protected-group predictors.

By Saad Mohammad Abrar, Eesha Kurella, Arnav Dadarya, Naman Awasthi, Kazi Tasnim Zinat, Vanessa Frias-Martinez
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Relative Transitions, Not Absolute Destinations: A Transfer-and-Ground Framework for Target-Trajectory-Free Human Mobility Generation

The paper introduces Nomad, a transfer-and-ground framework for generating human mobility trajectories without target-city trajectory data. It learns relative transitions from source cities using POI attributes and then grounds these transitions onto a target city’s POI map via a behavior graph and exploration–return walk. Experiments across ten cities show Nomad improves trajectory fidelity and downstream utility by roughly 15% and 3% respectively over adaptation baselines.

By Yidi Wang, Yunhe Zhang, Bangchao Deng, Dingqi Yang, Pengyang Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 7

BER-PEF: Unified Human Mobility Predictability Evaluation via Bayes Error Rate Estimation

BER-PEF is a Bayes‑error‑rate‑based framework that transforms BER estimation into human mobility predictability estimation, enabling comparison of different estimators even when ground truth predictability is not observable. It maps various data types—symbolic sequences, numeric trajectories, contextual features, and learned representations—into a shared feature–label space and evaluates estimator outputs along controlled perturbation curves against a common predictability reference interval. Experiments on datasets such as Foursquare NYC/TKY, GeoLife, and T‑Drive show that several BER‑based estimators outperform existing methods on symbolic sequences and numeric trajectories, and that aggregating evidence across multiple perturbation levels yields a more reliable basis for selecting estimators.

By En Xu, Jingtao Ding, Zhiwen Yu, Yong Li
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

Capturing Context-Aware Route Choice Semantics for Trajectory Representation Learning

arXiv:2510. 14819v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Trajectory representation learning (TRL) aims to encode raw trajectory data into low-dimensional embeddings for downstream tasks such as travel time estimation, mobility prediction, and trajectory similarity analysis.

By Ji Cao, Yu Wang, Tongya Zheng, Jie Song, Qinghong Guo, Zujie Ren, Canghong Jin, Gang Chen, Mingli Song
arXiv AI
Jun 2

TrafficClaw: A Generalizable LLM Agent in the Unified Physical Environment for Urban Traffic Control

arXiv:2604. 17456v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large language model (LLM) agents have shown strong capabilities in long-horizon reasoning, tool use, and decision-making in digital environments, yet extending them to physically grounded systems remains challenging.

By Siqi Lai, Pan Zhang, Yuping Zhou, Jindong Han, Yansong Ning, Hao Liu