BER-PEF is a Bayes‑error‑rate‑based framework that transforms BER estimation into human mobility predictability estimation, enabling comparison of different estimators even when ground truth predictability is not observable. It maps various data types—symbolic sequences, numeric trajectories, contextual features, and learned representations—into a shared feature–label space and evaluates estimator outputs along controlled perturbation curves against a common predictability reference interval. Experiments on datasets such as Foursquare NYC/TKY, GeoLife, and T‑Drive show that several BER‑based estimators outperform existing methods on symbolic sequences and numeric trajectories, and that aggregating evidence across multiple perturbation levels yields a more reliable basis for selecting estimators.
By En Xu, Jingtao Ding, Zhiwen Yu, Yong Li
arXiv:2608. 02052v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human mobility prediction models, which forecast the next location in a user's trajectory, are increasingly deployed in urban analytics, navigation, and personalized services.
By Anne Josiane Kouam, Hristo Boyadzhiev, Konrad Rieck
arXiv:2507. 00945v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short-term forecasting of aggregated human mobility flows supports urban planning, intelligent transportation systems, and emergency response, yet existing models often require substantial mobility history and learn spatial structure implicitly through grids or graphs.
By Massimiliano Luca, Ciro Beneduce, Bruno Lepri
arXiv:2606. 31207v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rapid advance of smart cities increasingly depends on trajectory data mining, yet underrepresented demographic groups, particularly the elderly, are often sparsely represented in public mobility datasets.
By Zhengxuan Wang, Haohan He, Mengying Zhou
arXiv:2606. 05130v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Individual-level mobility prediction is central to urban simulation, transportation planning, and policy analysis.
By Linyao Chen, Qinlao Zhao, Zechen Li, Mingming Li, Likun Ni, Jinyu Chen, Yuhao Yao, Xuan Song, Noboru Koshizuka, Hiroki Kobayashi
arXiv:2510. 06473v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding and modeling human mobility is central to challenges in transport planning, sustainable urban design, and public health.
By Ye Hong, Yatao Zhang, Konrad Schindler, Martin Raubal