arXiv Machine Learning

BER-PEF: Unified Human Mobility Predictability Evaluation via Bayes Error Rate Estimation

BER-PEF is a Bayes‑error‑rate‑based framework that transforms BER estimation into human mobility predictability estimation, enabling comparison of different estimators even when ground truth predictability is not observable. It maps various data types—symbolic sequences, numeric trajectories, contextual features, and learned representations—into a shared feature–label space and evaluates estimator outputs along controlled perturbation curves against a common predictability reference interval. Experiments on datasets such as Foursquare NYC/TKY, GeoLife, and T‑Drive show that several BER‑based estimators outperform existing methods on symbolic sequences and numeric trajectories, and that aggregating evidence across multiple perturbation levels yields a more reliable basis for selecting estimators.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 2

Do LLMs Know Your Neighborhood? Auditing LLM Priors for Neighborhood-Level Mobility Prediction and Structural Alignment

The study investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can predict neighborhood-level human mobility without training data. Using anonymized Cuebiq data across four U.S. metropolitan areas, the authors compare zero‑shot LLM predictions to supervised baselines for various mobility outcomes and assess structural alignment with empirical trends. Results show supervised models outperform LLMs (average accuracy 0.580 vs. 0.435), with LLMs relying on coarse, stable priors that may exhibit biased treatment of protected-group predictors.

By Saad Mohammad Abrar, Eesha Kurella, Arnav Dadarya, Naman Awasthi, Kazi Tasnim Zinat, Vanessa Frias-Martinez
arXiv AI
Jul 10

MobiDiff: Semantic-Aware Multi-Channel Discrete Diffusion for Human Mobility Data Generation

arXiv:2607. 08357v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human mobility data are essential for transportation optimization, urban planning, and resource allocation, yet real-world mobility data are costly to collect and difficult to share due to privacy concerns.

By Rongchao Xu, Lin Jiang, Dahai Yu, Ximiao Li, Taichi Liu, Desheng Zhang, Yuan Tian, Guang Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 11

TS-Mob: Social and Geographical-Aware Time Series Foundation-Model Framework for Human Mobility Prediction

arXiv:2507. 00945v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short-term forecasting of aggregated human mobility flows supports urban planning, intelligent transportation systems, and emergency response, yet existing models often require substantial mobility history and learn spatial structure implicitly through grids or graphs.

By Massimiliano Luca, Ciro Beneduce, Bruno Lepri
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

LE4Mob: Towards Inductive, Distance-Aware and General-Purpose Location Embedding for Human Mobility Modelling

LE4Mob is a new location embedding framework that learns inductive, distance‑aware representations from geographic context, enabling it to encode unseen locations and preserve spatial relationships. It builds on contrastive language‑location pre‑training and adds a regularisation objective that encourages the embedding space to reflect geographic distance. Experiments on next‑location prediction and commuter flow generation across multiple datasets show that LE4Mob outperforms strong baselines, especially in inductive settings and when downstream models use direct interactions between location embeddings.

By Xinglei Wang, Stephen Law, Zichao Zeng, Junyuan Liu, Guangsheng Dong, Tao Cheng
arXiv AI
Jun 11

MobilityBench: A Benchmark for Evaluating Route-Planning Agents in Real-World Mobility Scenarios

arXiv:2602. 22638v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Route-planning agents powered by large language models (LLMs) have emerged as a promising paradigm for supporting everyday human mobility through natural language interaction and tool-mediated decision making.

By Zhiheng Song, Jingshuai Zhang, Chuan Qin, Chao Wang, Chao Chen, Longfei Xu, Kaikui Liu, Xiangxiang Chu, Hengshu Zhu