arXiv Machine Learning

Decision Making and Ride Comfort Evaluation Based on Lane-Change Prediction for Autonomous Vehicles

The paper presents a lane‑change prediction model using knowledge‑graph embeddings and Bayesian inference to anticipate surrounding vehicles’ intentions 3–4 seconds before they occur. Three driving strategies—reactive, prediction‑based longitudinal, and prediction‑based lateral—are compared in CARLA simulations of risky merging scenarios. Prediction‑based approaches avoid collisions, reduce peak deceleration by up to 91 %, and are evaluated for ride comfort using ISO 2631‑1 vibration estimates.

arXiv AI
Sep 2

Risk-Aware Decision-Making for Autonomous Overtaking: A World Model-Based Mixture-of-Experts Framework

The paper introduces WM‑RMoE, a World Model‑based Risk‑aware Mixture‑of‑Experts framework for autonomous overtaking. It uses a learned latent dynamics model to perform multi‑step rollouts, evaluating cumulative risk at the trajectory level, and employs a hierarchical gating mechanism to coordinate long‑, short‑horizon, and rule‑based safety experts. A Gaussian Mixture Model preserves multimodal maneuver branches, improving robustness and preventing behavioral averaging, leading to better safety compliance, decision stability, and generalization in experiments.

By Yongzhi Liu, Sunan Zhang, Jinchang Xu, Jiawei Wang, Yushu Qiu, Chen Lv, Weichao Zhuang
arXiv AI
Jul 10

INTENT: An LSTM Framework for Vehicle Intention Prediction in Intersection Scenarios with Comprehensive Ablation Analysis

arXiv:2607. 08316v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vehicle intention prediction is a pivotal aspect in the agility and safety of autonomous vehicles in all driving scenarios; if genuine enhancement of autonomous vehicles are required, we need to make them adopt human interpretation of driver's intention especially in cases that require a lot of human interaction as well as complex driving behaviors like the ones at intersections, roundabouts and emergency cases such as sudden stops where vehicle intention prediction helps in taking the correct evasive action within a real time period where every second of action makes an impact and can prevent a catastrophe from taking place.

By Logine M. Zaki, Catherine M. Elias
arXiv AI
Aug 25

MPCFormer: A physics-informed data-driven approach for explainable socially-aware autonomous driving

MPCFormer is a physics‑informed, data‑driven framework that explicitly models multi‑vehicle social interaction dynamics for autonomous driving. It uses a Transformer‑based encoder‑decoder to learn discrete state‑space dynamics from naturalistic data, enabling explainable, human‑like behavior planning within a Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework. In open‑loop NGSIM tests, it achieves the lowest trajectory prediction errors (ADE 0.86 m over 5 s), and in closed‑loop intense interaction scenarios it attains a 94.67 % planning success rate, 15.75 % efficiency gain, and reduces collisions from 21.25 % to 0.5 %.

By Jia Hu, Zhexi Lian, Xuerun Yan, Ruiang Bi, Dou Shen, Yu Ruan, Chunlong Xia, Haoran Wang
arXiv AI
Jun 16

ROSA-RL: Uncertainty-Aware Roundabout Optimized Speed Advisory with Reinforcement Learning

arXiv:2606. 16558v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Roundabouts challenge automated driving in mixed traffic, as heterogeneous and non-deterministic human behavior, unknown driving intentions, and high interaction complexity create uncertainty about whether the conflict zone will be blocked or available at the moment of entry.

By Anna-Lena Schlamp, Jeremias Gerner, Klaus Bogenberger, Werner Huber, Stefanie Schmidtner