Credit risk models increasingly need to combine predictive accuracy with transparent explanations and auditable fairness constraints. Logistic regression remains attractive because its coefficients ar...
arXiv:2605.18147v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Predictive models are central to credit risk management, where the accuracy of default-probability and loss estimates affects the profitability of...
By Bart Baesens, Andreas Goethals, Stefan Lessmann, Simon De Vos, Cristi\'an Bravo, David Martens, Victor Medina-Olivares, Christophe Mues, Maria Oskarsd\'ottir, Seppe vanden Broucke, Tony Van Gestel, Tim Verdonck, Wouter Verbeke
arXiv:2605. 18147v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive models play a pivotal role in credit risk management, guiding critical decisions through accurate estimation of default probabilities and losses.
By Bart Baesens, Andreas Goethals, Stefan Lessmann, Simon De Vos, Cristi\'an Bravo, David Martens, Victor Medina-Olivares, Christophe Mues, Maria Oskarsd\'ottir, Seppe vanden Broucke, Tony Van Gestel, Tim Verdonck, Wouter Verbeke
arXiv:2402. 01811v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Credit scoring has been catalogued by the European Commission and the Executive Office of the US President as a high-risk classification task, in light of the potential harms of making loan approval decisions based on models that would be biased against certain groups.
By Pablo Casas, Huan Yu, Christophe Mues
arXiv:2609.09945v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Machine learning-based credit scoring is increasingly central to Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending, yet its resilience to adversarial manipulation, where ap...
By Gijs A. F. Niewzwaag, Marijn G. S. Veth, Manuele Massei, Marcos R. Machado
arXiv:2609.39025v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Fairness assessment in algorithmic decisions that affect individuals, such as credit scoring, often relies on parity measures calculated at the aggre...
By Dalia Atif, Paolo Giudici
The study investigates whether Large Language Models (LLMs) can translate technical explanations from credit risk models into stakeholder-friendly narratives. Using Freddie Mac loan data, the authors compare standard tabular models (XGBoost + SHAP) with alternative data pipelines (GNN + GNNExplainer and a bimodal mix) and generate explanations with three LLM configurations: a small fine‑tuned Gemma 3 4B, a large fine‑tuned DeepSeek R1 70B, and a zero‑shot Gemini 2.5. Findings show that the quality of explanations is more dependent on the evidence representation than on the LLM, that narratives reliably identify influential factors but are less consistent about the direction of influence, and that credit professionals demand higher evidentiary standards than non‑professionals.
By Sahab Zandi, Noah Kostesku, Christophe Mues, Mar\'ia \'Oskarsd\'ottir, Cristi\'an Bravo
arXiv:2604. 04241v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Risk scoring systems are widely used in high-stakes domains to assist decision-making.
By Wenhao Chi, \c{S}. \.Ilker Birbil
arXiv:2607. 11347v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural networks increasingly guide decisions in high-stakes domains such as medical diagnosis, credit approval, and energy bidding.
By Manli Yan, Yuebin Lin, Yaowen Yu, Yong Zhao
arXiv:2606. 02198v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction tasks over individual futures, which are inherently noisy, often admit multiple similarly accurate models.
By Ashwin Singh, Carlos Castillo
arXiv:2606. 08140v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Supply Chain Finance (SCF) and LendTech platforms need credit scoring systems that respond to evolving transaction behavior, repayment delays, and active exposure.
By Mohammadamin Davoodabadi, Amirabbas Shakeri
arXiv:2608. 08126v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Credit scoring increasingly relies on models whose decision logic cannot be read off their parameters, in tension with supervisory expectations that adverse decisions be explainable.
By Gregorius Reynaldi Pratama, Kuo-Kun Tseng