arXiv:2608.24582v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Credit risk models increasingly need to combine predictive accuracy with transparent explanations and auditable fairness constraints. Logistic regres...
By Victor Medina-Olivares, Stefan Lessmann, Jonathan Crook
Credit risk models increasingly need to combine predictive accuracy with transparent explanations and auditable fairness constraints. Logistic regression remains attractive because its coefficients ar...
arXiv:2605. 18147v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive models play a pivotal role in credit risk management, guiding critical decisions through accurate estimation of default probabilities and losses.
By Bart Baesens, Andreas Goethals, Stefan Lessmann, Simon De Vos, Cristi\'an Bravo, David Martens, Victor Medina-Olivares, Christophe Mues, Maria Oskarsd\'ottir, Seppe vanden Broucke, Tony Van Gestel, Tim Verdonck, Wouter Verbeke
arXiv:2609.37223v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Credit-risk prediction is important in banking, but a prediction alone does not explain why an applicant is risky or how it should be combined with oth...
By Aakash Kumar Tiwari
arXiv:2601. 20533v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Survival analysis has become a standard approach for modelling time to default by time-varying covariates in credit risk.
By Jianwei Peng (Humboldt-Universit\"at zu Berlin), Stefan Lessmann (Humboldt-Universit\"at zu Berlin, Bucharest University of Economic Studies)
The paper presents a deep learning credit risk early warning system that fuses heterogeneous data sources, such as transaction behaviors and social networks, using deep neural networks and attention mechanisms. By extracting multidimensional features, the system establishes an early identification mechanism for corporate and individual credit risks. Testing shows that this approach improves the accuracy and timeliness of risk warnings compared to traditional rule‑based engines.
By LiYang Wang (Washington University in St. Louis), Zhen Zhong (Georgetown University), Zhen Tian (University of Glasgow), Keyu Chen (Wuyi University), Keyu Chen (Wuyi University)
arXiv:2402. 01811v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Credit scoring has been catalogued by the European Commission and the Executive Office of the US President as a high-risk classification task, in light of the potential harms of making loan approval decisions based on models that would be biased against certain groups.
By Pablo Casas, Huan Yu, Christophe Mues
The paper introduces DTD‑VAE, a Variational Autoencoder that disentangles temporal dependencies to better predict credit risk. It uses an autoregressive feature inference module to capture temporal patterns among latent variables and an element‑wise gating mechanism in the generative module to assign independent weights to each latent dimension, especially those relevant to credit risk. Experiments on six real‑world datasets show the model outperforms existing methods, improving ROC‑AUC by 3.2%–4.86% and Accuracy Ratio by 6.41%–9.71%.
By Xiaobo Guo, Lu-an Dong, Yanbo Wang, Peng Zhang, Cai Zhi, Youru Li
arXiv:2609.08247v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Wallet reputation scores decide who receives an airdrop, who can borrow, and who enters an allowlist across decentralised finance. They almost always b...
By Girish G N, Ashutosh Sahoo, Akshay SP, Gurukiran S, Dhanashekar Kandaswamy
arXiv:2606. 18479v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reject inference methods are widely used to mitigate survival bias in credit scoring, yet their effectiveness remains poorly understood.
By Bruno Scarone, Ricardo Baeza-Yates
arXiv:2606. 06776v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Customer churn prediction is a central task in customer analytics, particularly in non-contractual, pay-per-use service environments where disengagement is not explicitly observed and must be inferred from behavioral inactivity.
By Muhammad Jawad Mufti, Omar Hammad, Haitham Saleh, Muqaddas Gull
arXiv:2609.25542v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Corporate default prediction is a core problem in financial risk management, yet traditional credit models rely heavily on financial statements that ar...
By Junghoon Kim, Hyunsung Kim, Seungyoon Choi, KyoungYong Park, Jihun Lee, YongGu Ji, Chanyoung Park