arXiv Machine Learning

General Value Functions for Remaining Useful Life and Failure-Mode Prediction

arXiv:2607. 22268v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction and failure-mode classification are central tasks in predictive maintenance.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Tabular Foundation Models Can Do Survival Analysis

arXiv:2601. 22259v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end before the event of interest occurs.

By Da In Kim, Wei Siang Lai, Kelly W. Zhang
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

FedCMAPSS: A Benchmark for Federated Learning in Remaining Useful Life Estimation

FedCMAPSS is a new benchmark for federated learning applied to remaining useful life (RUL) estimation, built on the NASA C‑MAPSS dataset. It defines five standardized tasks that mimic real‑world industrial scenarios, from ideal IID conditions to highly heterogeneous data distributions. The paper evaluates state‑of‑the‑art federated optimization algorithms across multiple neural architectures, providing reproducible baselines and publicly available code and data splits.

By Amelia Sorrenti, Matteo Pennisi, Concetto Spampinato, Simone Palazzo
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Calibrating Prediction Timeliness Through Multi-Objective Hyperparameter Optimization for Remaining Useful Life Prediction

The paper investigates how treating the optimization objective as a design variable can improve Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction in predictive maintenance. Five model architectures are compared under single‑objective and multi‑objective hyperparameter optimization, with the latter using NSGA‑II and Entropy‑CRITIC weighting to balance accuracy and prediction timeliness. Results on NASA C‑MAPSS and BackBlaze datasets show that multi‑objective optimization reduces directional imbalance in predictions and can alter model rankings, highlighting the importance of objective choice in RUL modeling.

By Tugrul Cabir Hakyemez, Ener Uras Gokhan
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Uncertainty and Business-Aware Remaining Useful Life Estimation for Semiconductor Manufacturing

The paper presents a predictive maintenance framework for semiconductor manufacturing that combines deep learning sequence models with simultaneous quantile regression to provide uncertainty‑aware remaining useful life (RUL) estimates. It evaluates several architectures—including state‑space models—on ion‑milling data from the 2018 PHM Data Challenge, showing that the Diagonal State Space (S4D) model delivers the most accurate RUL predictions across quantiles. Compared to preventive maintenance baselines, the S4D approach significantly reduces business costs by avoiding unnecessarily early interventions.

By Davide Frizzo, Francesco Borsatti, Gian Antonio Susto