The paper investigates data‑driven predictive maintenance where health‑condition estimation is coupled with an ordering‑replacement decision model. It shows that the traditional Estimate‑Then‑Optimize (ETO) approach can lead to inconsistent, suboptimal decisions and introduces an Integrated Estimate‑Optimize (IEO) framework that directly optimizes maintenance cost, bypassing conventional accuracy metrics. Experiments on CMAPSS data demonstrate that IEO reduces mean maintenance cost by 14.8–22.7% versus ETO and 7.2–11.8% versus a decision‑oriented baseline, while also lowering failure rates and cost variability, even when prediction errors are higher.
By Zhuojun Xie, Adam Abdin, Yiping Fang
The paper introduces TQRNN30d, a long‑horizon predictive maintenance model that uses a dual‑stage quantile regression neural network to transform hourly machine data into a 324‑dimensional quantile‑state representation, which is then classified with a multi‑stream temporal fusion architecture. Trained on data from 72 machines across nine facilities, the model achieves high performance at 30‑day horizons (F1 ≈ 80%, recall ≈ 80%, precision ≈ 82%, accuracy ≈ 82%, ROC‑AUC ≈ 0.82) and outperforms 18 baseline methods at 7‑, 14‑, and 30‑day thresholds. The study demonstrates that explicit conditional‑quantile representations can effectively distinguish gradual degradation from normal operation over multi‑day planning windows, though generalisation to unseen sites or equipment remains untested.
By David J Poland, Daniele Ravi, Na Helian
FedCMAPSS is a new benchmark for federated learning applied to remaining useful life (RUL) estimation, built on the NASA C‑MAPSS dataset. It defines five standardized tasks that mimic real‑world industrial scenarios, from ideal IID conditions to highly heterogeneous data distributions. The paper evaluates state‑of‑the‑art federated optimization algorithms across multiple neural architectures, providing reproducible baselines and publicly available code and data splits.
By Amelia Sorrenti, Matteo Pennisi, Concetto Spampinato, Simone Palazzo
The paper introduces a quantile‑led feature‑extraction framework for predictive maintenance that separates representation learning from downstream modeling. Using a dual‑stage MLP‑QRNN hierarchy, it learns a ten‑quantile distribution per sensor and refines a mid‑tail quantile set into compact, channel‑resolved features. Experiments on 72 machines across nine facilities show that increasing the retained mid‑tail quantiles improves short‑term F1 scores, and that horizon‑conditioned extractors outperform a fixed short‑horizon extractor, demonstrating that feature extraction should be horizon‑dependent rather than fixed preprocessing.
By David J Poland, Daniele Ravi, Na Helian
arXiv:2607. 22268v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction and failure-mode classification are central tasks in predictive maintenance.
By Hao Yan, Ali Sarabi, Qing Zou, Boyang Xu
arXiv:2606. 05334v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Returned products in circular factories re-enter production with heterogeneous degradation states, usage histories, and remaining capability.
By Nehal Afifi, Mehdi Khabou, Victor Mas, Jonas Hemmerich, Patric Grauberger, Stefan Dietrich, Volker Schulze, Sven Matthiesen