arXiv Machine Learning

FedCMAPSS: A Benchmark for Federated Learning in Remaining Useful Life Estimation

FedCMAPSS is a new benchmark for federated learning applied to remaining useful life (RUL) estimation, built on the NASA C‑MAPSS dataset. It defines five standardized tasks that mimic real‑world industrial scenarios, from ideal IID conditions to highly heterogeneous data distributions. The paper evaluates state‑of‑the‑art federated optimization algorithms across multiple neural architectures, providing reproducible baselines and publicly available code and data splits.

arXiv AI
Oct 28

Data-Driven Maintenance Optimization: Aligning Prognostic Learning with Decision Objective

The paper investigates data‑driven predictive maintenance where health‑condition estimation is coupled with an ordering‑replacement decision model. It shows that the traditional Estimate‑Then‑Optimize (ETO) approach can lead to inconsistent, suboptimal decisions and introduces an Integrated Estimate‑Optimize (IEO) framework that directly optimizes maintenance cost, bypassing conventional accuracy metrics. Experiments on CMAPSS data demonstrate that IEO reduces mean maintenance cost by 14.8–22.7% versus ETO and 7.2–11.8% versus a decision‑oriented baseline, while also lowering failure rates and cost variability, even when prediction errors are higher.

By Zhuojun Xie, Adam Abdin, Yiping Fang
arXiv AI
Jun 2

Toward accurate RUL and SoH estimation using reinforced graph-based physics-informed neural networks enhanced with dynamic weights

arXiv:2507. 09766v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate estimation of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) and State of Health (SoH) is essential for reliable Prognostics and Health Management (PHM), supporting timely maintenance and dependable industrial operation.

By Mohamadreza Akbari Pour, Ali Ghasemzadeh, Mohamad Ali Bijarchi, Mohammad Behshad Shafii
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Uncertainty and Business-Aware Remaining Useful Life Estimation for Semiconductor Manufacturing

The paper presents a predictive maintenance framework for semiconductor manufacturing that combines deep learning sequence models with simultaneous quantile regression to provide uncertainty‑aware remaining useful life (RUL) estimates. It evaluates several architectures—including state‑space models—on ion‑milling data from the 2018 PHM Data Challenge, showing that the Diagonal State Space (S4D) model delivers the most accurate RUL predictions across quantiles. Compared to preventive maintenance baselines, the S4D approach significantly reduces business costs by avoiding unnecessarily early interventions.

By Davide Frizzo, Francesco Borsatti, Gian Antonio Susto
arXiv Machine Learning
3d ago

Benchmarking Sensor-Fault Robustness in Forecasting

arXiv:2605.10822v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Cyber-physical system (CPS) forecasting models depend on sensor streams with noisy, biased, missing, or temporally misaligned readings, yet standar...

By Alexander Windmann, Philipp Wittenberg, Gianluca Manca, Marcel Dix, Jens U. Brandt, Oliver Niggemann
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 3

Calibrating Prediction Timeliness Through Multi-Objective Hyperparameter Optimization for Remaining Useful Life Prediction

The paper investigates how treating the optimization objective as a design variable can improve Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction in predictive maintenance. Five model architectures are compared under single‑objective and multi‑objective hyperparameter optimization, with the latter using NSGA‑II and Entropy‑CRITIC weighting to balance accuracy and prediction timeliness. Results on NASA C‑MAPSS and BackBlaze datasets show that multi‑objective optimization reduces directional imbalance in predictions and can alter model rankings, highlighting the importance of objective choice in RUL modeling.

By Tugrul Cabir Hakyemez, Ener Uras Gokhan