arXiv AI

TERMS-Bench: Diagnosing LLM Negotiation Agents Beyond Deal Rate

arXiv:2605. 13909v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Negotiation is a central mechanism of economic exchange, shaping markets, procurement, labor agreements, and resource allocation.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 8

Strategic Bargaining in Multi-Buyer Markets: Reinforcement Learning from Verifiable Rewards for LLM Negotiations

arXiv:2607. 05863v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Negotiation is a fundamental strategic interaction in management science, characterized by agents attempting to reach agreements while protecting private information, such as reservation costs and hidden valuations.

By Shuze Daniel Liu, Claire Chen, Jiabao Sean Xiao, Xin Chen, David Simchi-Levi
arXiv AI
Sep 21

Why Do LLMs Struggle in Strategic Play? Broken Links Between Observations, Beliefs, and Actions

The paper investigates why large language models (LLMs) struggle in strategic decision-making under incomplete information. It identifies two key gaps: an observation‑belief gap where LLMs’ internal representations of game states are accurate but brittle, and a belief‑action gap where converting these internal beliefs into actions is weak, leading to suboptimal payoffs. Experiments with Llama 3.1, Qwen3, and gpt‑oss confirm that acting optimally on decoded beliefs would improve outcomes in most games, highlighting a bottleneck in belief‑to‑action conversion.

By Jan Sobotka, Mustafa O. Karabag, Ufuk Topcu
arXiv AI
Sep 7

ERPBench: Evaluating LLM Agents for Enterprise Decision-Making Across Competitive Market Ecologies

ERPBench is a benchmark that evaluates large language model agents in enterprise decision-making through a six‑round ERP simulation covering pricing, production, procurement, inventory, finance, and market competition. It tests the same 100 problems in two market ecologies—Solo, where agents compete against rule‑based opponents, and Arena, where six agents compete together—producing 1,200 model trajectories across 7,200 decision rounds. Results show that model performance varies by ecology, with DeepSeek best in Solo and Gemini best in Arena, and only 21 of 100 problems yield the same top performer across both settings.

By Xinran Zhang, Pengrui Lu, Lyumanshan Ye, Pengfei Liu
arXiv AI
Sep 3

Competitive Market Behavior of LLMs

The study investigates how large language models (LLMs) perform in a double auction market, a common economic mechanism. By replacing human participants with LLM agents, the authors find that markets with LLMs converge more slowly or not at all, leading to less efficient resource allocations. Analysis of trading decisions reveals significant variation across model families and roles, and a lexical study of Chain-of-Thought traces links trade execution to a shift from strategic thinking to urgency.

By Pawel Struski, Jakub Swistak, Inez Okulska, Przemyslaw Biecek