arXiv:2606. 16863v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evaluation of spatiotemporal point process (STPP) models relies heavily on opaque real-world datasets, where latent generative structure is unknown and model failures are difficult to attribute.
arXiv:2607. 01022v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs) model event data in continuous time and space, with applications in mobility, epidemiology, and public safety.
arXiv:2603. 23746v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Events in spatiotemporal domains arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering event relationships and enabling accurate prediction are central challenges.
arXiv:2509. 21996v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Hawkes processes are used in settings where past events increase the likelihood of future events occurring, resulting in a natural clustering structure.
arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.
arXiv:2509. 24762v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events.
arXiv:2607. 00956v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time-series models are often evaluated by what they can forecast or classify, but those scores do not show whether their representations preserve the process state a user may want to inspect: event timing, phase, amplitude, frequency, or regime variables.
arXiv:2606. 28670v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce MACROCAST, a lightweight Time Series Foundation Model (TSFM) for real-time macroeconomic forecasting.
arXiv:2609.40071v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twins increasingly support downstream analytical tasks that depend on time-series data, motivating interest in time-series foundation models...
arXiv:2602.01605v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) leverage extensive pretraining to accurately predict unseen time series during inference, without the need fo...
arXiv:2605. 29283v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent physics foundation models claim general spatiotemporal forecasting ability, yet their evaluations often collapse performance into a single average score under a fixed training distribution.
arXiv:2607. 16251v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models (STFMs) aim to learn generalizable representations of complex dynamical systems across space and time.
arXiv:2608. 08029v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Khatri et al.