arXiv Machine Learning By Trinnhallen Brisley, Gordon Ross, Daniel Paulin

A Semiparametric Discrete Hawkes Model with a Collapsed Gaussian-Process Prior

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2509. 21996v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Hawkes processes are used in settings where past events increase the likelihood of future events occurring, resulting in a natural clustering structure.

Summary generated by The Flow from the publisher's feed. The full article lives at arXiv Machine Learning.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 17

GAttNHP: Group Attention Neural Hawkes Process for Extrapolation Reasoning in Temporal Knowledge Graphs

arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.

By Xiangni Tian, Kaixian Yu, Runpeng Dai, Niansheng Tang, Hongtu Zhu