arXiv:2509. 21996v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Hawkes processes are used in settings where past events increase the likelihood of future events occurring, resulting in a natural clustering structure.
arXiv:2603. 23746v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Events in spatiotemporal domains arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering event relationships and enabling accurate prediction are central challenges.
arXiv:2606. 06205v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Continuous-time event data, in which entities emit instantaneous events over time, arises naturally across many domains such as neuroscience, seismology, and social networks.
arXiv:2606. 16863v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evaluation of spatiotemporal point process (STPP) models relies heavily on opaque real-world datasets, where latent generative structure is unknown and model failures are difficult to attribute.
arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.
arXiv:2607. 01082v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-temporal point-process models must often generalise across space when local event histories are sparse.
arXiv:2511. 23276v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Effective HFMD surveillance requires forecasts capturing both time-series patterns and contextual drivers such as school calendars, weather, and policy or surveillance reports.
arXiv:2607. 11177v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper, we propose deep learning based NeuroMem-FHP framework for estimating the parameters of the fractional Hawkes process (FHP), a self-exciting point process that captures long-range dependence through a fractional Mittag-Leffler excitation kernel.
arXiv:2509. 24762v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events.
arXiv:2408. 12792v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Event detection turns long recordings into a sparse set of ranked timestamps.
arXiv:2606. 27286v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Mechanistic epidemiological models are widely used to support infectious disease forecasting and public-health decision making.
arXiv:2606. 24982v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modeling and sampling from the underlying distribution of asynchronous event sequences are crucial in various real-world applications, including social networks, medical diagnosis, and financial transactions.
arXiv:2603. 07108v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Accurate and reliable forecasting of epidemic incidences is critical for public health preparedness, yet it remains a challenging task due to complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and heterogeneous spatial interactions.