arXiv:2603. 11756v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Deep generative models for anomaly detection in multivariate time-series are typically trained by maximizing observed data likelihood.
By David Baumgartner, Eliezer de Souza da Silva, I\~nigo Urteaga
arXiv:2606. 16863v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evaluation of spatiotemporal point process (STPP) models relies heavily on opaque real-world datasets, where latent generative structure is unknown and model failures are difficult to attribute.
By Yahya Aalaila, Sumantrak Mukherjee, Gerrit Gro{\ss}mann, Sebastian Vollmer
arXiv:2606. 28670v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce MACROCAST, a lightweight Time Series Foundation Model (TSFM) for real-time macroeconomic forecasting.
By Andrea Carriero, Davide Pettenuzzo, Shubhranshu Shekhar
arXiv:2607. 25459v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Mechanistic interpretability has largely focused on language models and deterministic toy tasks.
By Xiaoyu Huang, Lulu Wang
arXiv:2604. 17616v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Root cause analysis (RCA) for time-series anomaly detection is critical for the reliable operation of complex real-world systems.
By Shashank Mishra, Karan Patil, Cedric Schockaert, Didier Stricker, Jason Rambach
arXiv:2501. 04339v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce the Deep Convolutional Interpreter for Time Series (DCIts), a deep-learning architecture for nonlinear multivariate time series that provides sample-specific, locally interpretable descriptions of the underlying interaction structure.
By Domjan Baric, Davor Horvatic
arXiv:2606. 20560v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: LLM reasoning transparency is a critical affordance for understanding model decisions, mitigating misuse and misalignment, and debugging surprising model behaviors.
By Joshua Engels, Callum McDougall, Bilal Chughtai, Janos Kramar, Senthoran Rajamanoharan, Cindy Wu, Arthur Conmy, Asic Q Chen, Jean Tarbouriech, Min Ma, Brendan O'Donoghue, Jo\~ao Gabriel Lopes de Oliveira, Rohin Shah, Neel Nanda
arXiv:2608. 01587v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Machine-learning benchmarks often pair a label that aggregates a long temporal horizon with input observed through one or a few short windows.
By Xizhe Zhang
arXiv:2606. 08601v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated impressive potential for time series forecasting.
By Peiliang Gong, Emadeldeen Eldele, Chenyu Liu, Ziyu Jia, Yi Ding, Xinliang Zhou, Lianchao Gu, Qi Zhu, Yang Liu, Daoqiang Zhang, Xiaoli Li
arXiv:2608. 16098v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time-series forecasting faces a structural dilemma: sharing one temporal predictor across variables is parameter-efficient but forces heterogeneous variables through an identical history-to-future map, whereas learning an independent predictor per variable restores flexibility at a cost that grows with the product of variable count, context length, and horizon.
By Xiachong Lin, Du Yin, Hao Xue, Wen Hu, Imran Razzak, Arian Prabowo, Matthew Amos, Flora D. Salim
arXiv:2607. 10296v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reasoning failures in large language models (LLMs) are usually evaluated from final answers, but a wrong answer does not reveal why the model failed.
By Dongxu Zhang, Yiding Sun, Zihao Guo, Xiangyang Yang, Kai Tang, Lin Chen, Cheng Tan, Jihua Zhu
arXiv:2410. 07299v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce OTIS, an open time series encoder that yields high-quality time series features for downstream deployment on any system, including resource-constrained wearables and industrial sensors.
By \"Ozg\"un Turgut, Philip M\"uller, Martin J. Menten, Daniel Rueckert