arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.
arXiv:2609.36559v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extrapolative temporal knowledge graph reasoning (TKGR) predicts future facts from historical snapshots. Most existing methods train once on an early...
arXiv:2606. 05733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Per-ticker forecasting models dominate financial time-series work yet remain blind to cross-company propagation: a foundry disruption in Taiwan does not register in a single-asset model until Apple's own price has already moved.
arXiv:2607. 10197v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Knowledge graph foundation models such as Ultra and Trix achieve strong inductive transfer by learning relation-graph representations that generalise to unseen entities and relations.
arXiv:2606. 08601v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently demonstrated impressive potential for time series forecasting.
arXiv:2608. 10120v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern sequence models, from Transformers to State Space Models, have enabled powerful generative modeling across diverse domains, yet they are typically trained to predict what happens while treating when it happens as a secondary concern.
arXiv:2603.12916v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multivariate time series anomalies often manifest as shifts in cross-channel dependencies rather than simple amplitude excursions. In autonom...
BridgeMem is a new method for temporal knowledge graph forecasting that focuses on pair‑specific transition evidence, adding a residual correction to the log scores of a frozen full‑vocabulary forecaster. It retrieves and encodes prior events between a query actor and candidate, converting them into a likelihood‑ratio correction via a support‑adaptive empirical‑Bayes reader. Across five benchmarks, BridgeMem outperforms nine baselines from 2021–2026, improving filtered MRR and Hits@{1,3,10} metrics by up to 0.0216.
arXiv:2511. 20577v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends.
arXiv:2607. 02344v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Transformer architectures have shown strong potential in time series forecasting, where multi-head self-attention is widely used to capture temporal dependencies across historical timestamps.
arXiv:2608. 06765v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Continuous-time dynamic graph models predict future links by compressing past interactions into neural states.
arXiv:2608.24428v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Using monthly Ni\~no-3.4 anomalies through July 2026, we investigate how much predictive information is contained in delayed observations of the inde...
TimeBraid is a family of unified models that combine pretrained language models with pretrained time‑series foundation models using interleaved global residual attention layers. The models inherit instruction following, reasoning, and continuous‑signal perception, fusing both modalities into a shared representation space for understanding and generation. The design focuses on aligning representation spaces, grounding language in temporal structure, balancing understanding with generation, and maintaining stable joint optimization, supported by 2.2 M curated series‑text pairs and 4.9 M instruction‑tuning samples. Across diverse benchmarks, TimeBraid competes with larger general‑purpose and task‑specific models.