arXiv:2606. 16863v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evaluation of spatiotemporal point process (STPP) models relies heavily on opaque real-world datasets, where latent generative structure is unknown and model failures are difficult to attribute.
By Yahya Aalaila, Sumantrak Mukherjee, Gerrit Gro{\ss}mann, Sebastian Vollmer
arXiv:2509. 24762v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events.
By David Berghaus, Patrick Seifner, Kostadin Cvejoski, C\'esar Ojeda, Rams\'es J. S\'anchez
arXiv:2607. 16251v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models (STFMs) aim to learn generalizable representations of complex dynamical systems across space and time.
By Yutong Feng, Shiyuan Piao, Yutong Xia, Xu Liu, Wenqi Fan, Fugee Tsung, See-Kiong Ng, Yuxuan Liang
arXiv:2607. 06652v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Rough path signatures are a universal feature map for continuous paths and, via the expected signature, characterise path distributions.
By Niels Cariou-Kotlarek, Vasileios Lampos
arXiv:2607. 22655v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Estimating origin-destination (OD) flows under disruptive events is important for disaster response and urban resilience.
By Jie Zhao, Jie Feng, Can Rong, Zhihan Hou, Peng Lu, Yong Li
arXiv:2603. 23746v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Events in spatiotemporal domains arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering event relationships and enabling accurate prediction are central challenges.
By Zhitong Xu, Qiwei Yuan, Yinghao Chen, Yan Sun, Bin Shen, Shandian Zhe
arXiv:2501. 14291v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event sequences occurring in continuous time.
By Feng Zhou, Quyu Kong, Jie Qiao, Cheng Wan, Yixuan Zhang, Ruichu Cai
arXiv:2607. 20592v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-temporal machine-learning modelling is an important tool in environmental research.
By Jan Linnenbrink, Jakub Nowosad, Marvin Ludwig, Anna Frederike Jablotschkin, Fabian Schumacher, Teja Kattenborn, Hanna Meyer
arXiv:2607. 00196v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Many scientific systems exhibit uncertainty from stochastic forcing, unresolved degrees of freedom, or imperfect observations, making reliable surrogate forecasting fundamentally distributional rather than pointwise.
By Bharat Srikishan, Javier E. Santos, Nikhil Muralidhar, Charles D. Young
arXiv:2511. 20577v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends.
By Sumit S Shevtekar, Chandresh K Maurya
Spatio-temporal machine-learning modelling is an important tool in environmental research. However, machine-learning models are highly sensitive to both the characteristics of the training data, such as its distribution, and methodological choices, including the cross-validation strategy.
arXiv:2608. 11951v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extreme events in air transport, such as severe arrival delays and abnormal air times, cause cascading network disruptions with substantial operational, economic, and safety costs.
By Karim Aly, Alexei Sharpanskykh, Jacco Hoekstra