arXiv AI

Grounding Time-Series Foundation Models in Digital Twin Topology for Predictive Maintenance

arXiv AI
Jul 21

A Continual Validation, Updating, and Decision-Making Framework for Self-Adaptive Digital Twins via Robust Model Predictive Control: A Case Study in Additive Manufacturing

arXiv:2607. 18164v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital Twins rely on surrogate models to mirror physical systems in real time, yet these models can degrade as operating conditions evolve, a phenomenon known as concept drift.

By Yi-Ping Chen, Ying-Kuan Tsai, Vispi Karkaria, Seul Lee, Daniel Apley, Wei Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 2

Timesynth: A Temporal Fidelity Framework for Health Signal Digital Twins

arXiv:2607. 00431v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting models for health-signal digital twins must preserve the oscillatory, frequency, phase, and state-transition dynamics of physiological signals, yet the pointwise metrics used to benchmark them cannot detect when these fundamental properties are lost.

By Md Rakibul Haque, Shireen Elhabian, Warren Woodrich Pettine
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 16

Graphical conditional generative modeling for digital twin modeling

arXiv:2606. 16219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twin modeling, including control and data assimilation under model uncertainty, often faces an open-ended fidelity problem: adding variables, data streams, and time scales can indefinitely increase model complexity, ultimately producing systems that are difficult to maintain, validate, interpret, and use for stress or safety testing.

By Zongren Zou, Th\'eo Bourdais, Ricardo Baptista, Houman Owhadi
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 7

Align-RAG: Alignment Is All You Need for TSFM In-Context Learning

arXiv:2608. 05571v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Retrieval-augmented forecasting promises to adapt frozen Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) to new domains without fine-tuning, but recent methods typically rely on learned fusion modules, i.

By Mohammad Asadi, Soheil Hor, Bardiya Akhbari, Jack W. O'Sullivan, Tahoura Nedaee, Layne C. Price, Raviteja Anantha, Euan Ashley, Ehsan Adeli
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 25

TopoCast: A Topological Fidelity Framework for Evaluating Transformer-Based Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2606. 25439v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Deep learning-based models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF), yet their evaluation remains dominated by pointwise error metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), which quantify numerical accuracy but overlook structural properties of the forecast signal, including recurrent dynamics, oscillatory behavior, and phase alignment.

By Sandeepa Weerasekara, Sandareka Wickramanayake
arXiv AI
Jun 11

OmniBioTwin: A System-of-Twinned-Systems Framework for Health Digital Twins

arXiv:2606. 11264v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Health digital twins (HDTs) promise patient-specific modeling and decision support but current approaches remain structurally fragmented: monolithic models that address a single organ or task lack cross-scale fidelity, while system-level twins lack generalizable architectural frameworks.

By Zhaohui Wang, Yu Huang, Jiang Bian
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

When Does Context Routing Help? A Systematic Study of Multi-Modal Fusion in Time Series Forecasting

The paper investigates when auxiliary context can genuinely improve multi‑modal time series forecasting. It identifies two necessary dataset‑level conditions: the target must not be dominated by a last‑value shortcut (low autocorrelation) and the context must provide additional information beyond history (non‑zero conditional mutual information). Experiments on a large mixture‑of‑experts model and several fusion mechanisms show that only when both conditions hold does context routing yield a substantial reduction in mean‑squared error; otherwise its contribution collapses to a capacity floor.

By Ruizhe Zhou, Gaoyuan Du, Xiaoyang Liu, Haoqi Yao, Deepayan Chakrabarti, Jiating Lin, Yixuan Shen
arXiv AI
Jun 15

ANSR-DT: A Neuro-Symbolic Framework for Adaptive and Explainable Digital Twins

arXiv:2501. 08561v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Digital twins are increasingly used to monitor and optimize industrial systems, yet many existing frameworks remain difficult to interpret, slow to adapt, and limited in their ability to incorporate explicit domain knowledge.

By Safayat Bin Hakim, Muhammad Adil, Alvaro Velasquez, Houbing Herbert Song