arXiv:2509. 24762v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events.
arXiv:2501. 14291v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event sequences occurring in continuous time.
arXiv:2306.11313v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Point process models are widely used for continuous-time discrete-event data, where each data point includes time and additional information...
arXiv:2512.07624v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of...
arXiv:2607. 01022v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs) model event data in continuous time and space, with applications in mobility, epidemiology, and public safety.
arXiv:2607. 16251v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models (STFMs) aim to learn generalizable representations of complex dynamical systems across space and time.
arXiv:2609.21382v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Operators of service-based systems act on forecasts of how a running execution will continue, and such a forecast is actionable only if its reliability...
arXiv:2608. 10120v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern sequence models, from Transformers to State Space Models, have enabled powerful generative modeling across diverse domains, yet they are typically trained to predict what happens while treating when it happens as a secondary concern.
The paper introduces a Unified Particle Filter LSTM (Unified PF‑LSTM) for data‑driven process simulation, which maintains a weighted set of recurrent‑state hypotheses to better capture latent process conditions from incomplete event logs. By summarizing this particle belief with a weighted mean and moment‑generating‑function features, the model predicts next‑activity probabilities and conditional sojourn‑time quantiles. Experiments on three real‑world emergency department datasets show that the framework consistently outperforms existing data‑driven baselines in reproducing routing, duration, and system‑level behavior, especially when process dynamics are only partially reflected in the logs.
arXiv:2606. 20538v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian predictive inference provides a principled framework for uncertainty quantification, data efficiency, and robust generalization.
arXiv:2606. 09861v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: While Next-Token Prediction (NTP) has unified LLM pretraining, its adaptation to unbounded, continuous time series (TS) remains open.
The paper introduces PaCTS, a method that generates instance‑adaptive latent prompts—continuous embedding tokens—to provide compact contextual information for frozen time‑series foundation models (TSFMs). These prompts are constructed from instance‑specific global statistics and refined with segment‑level temporal data, enabling the model to capture both global characteristics and local temporal variations. Experiments show that PaCTS improves forecasting performance across various context lengths and model architectures, often outperforming the same backbone with double the context while reducing inference computation, and it also offers stronger improvements and better out‑of‑distribution generalization compared to weight‑space adaptation methods.
arXiv:2607. 07500v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series classification (TSC) is dominated by a two-stage paradigm: train a feature encoder -- either from scratch on the target dataset or via pretraining on large corpora -- and then fit a task-specific classifier on top.