arXiv Machine Learning

Evaluating Uplift Modeling under Structural Biases: Insights into Metric Stability and Model Robustness

arXiv:2603. 20775v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In personalized marketing, uplift models estimate the incremental effect of an intervention by modeling how customer behavior would change under alternative treatments using counterfactual analysis.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 25

Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network with Inverse Propensity Score under Unobserved Confounding

Uplift modeling, crucial for estimating individual treatment effects (ITE), faces dual challenges: flexibly leveraging inter-group similarity to enhance discriminative power and debiasing under unobserved confounding scenarios. In this paper, we propose the Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network (CHAUN) and Robust Adversarial Inverse Propensity Score (RA-IPS) method to address these limitations.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 28

SPARC Segmentation to Prediction via Affine Regression and Counterfactuals

Transaction propensity prediction in B2B e commerce presents unique challenges distinct from B2C contexts, primarily due to the heterogeneous procurement behaviors of organizational entities, which violate SMOTE's implicit assumption of within class feature homogeneity. Specifically, B2B buyers exhibit multi modal procurement cycles that render linear interpolation between minority class samples structurally invalid, producing synthetic data that does not represent real purchasing behavior.

arXiv AI
6d ago

Which Influence Are We Estimating? The Role of Counterfactual Specifications in Data Attribution

The paper investigates how the definition of influence—specifically the behavior being attributed, the intervention on training data, and the counterfactual training process—affects rankings produced by influence estimators. It formalizes influence as a counterfactual estimand, distinguishes specification mismatch from approximation error, and categorizes existing estimators by their implied specifications. Experiments demonstrate that different specifications can lead to markedly different rankings, and that careful specification choice improves attribution quality in tasks such as noisy label detection and large‑language‑model attribution.

By Zhe Li, Wei Zhao, Peixin Zhang, Jun Sun
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26

Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network with Inverse Propensity Score under Unobserved Confounding

arXiv:2606. 27114v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uplift modeling, crucial for estimating individual treatment effects (ITE), faces dual challenges: flexibly leveraging inter-group similarity to enhance discriminative power and debiasing under unobserved confounding scenarios.

By Haoran Zhang, Chuanpu Li, Yuxin Fu, Bin Tong, Guan Wang, Bo Zheng, Feng Zhou
arXiv AI
6d ago

Robust to Which Model Change? A Unified Evaluation of Robust Counterfactual Explanations

The paper introduces a unified evaluation protocol for robust counterfactual explanations (CFE), testing six robust methods and two baselines across four tabular datasets under eight types of model change. It shows that robustness scores vary by change type and that methods designed for one change family may not transfer to others, with RobX performing most consistently. The study emphasizes the need for a common protocol that defines model changes, measures their impact, and separates generation performance from robustness.

By Marcin Kostrzewa, Maciej Zi\k{e}ba