Learning the Pareto Frontier of Predictive Models under Distribution Shift
arXiv:2608. 00632v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern machine learning pipelines increasingly rely on reusing pretrained and foundation models across downstream tasks.
INCONVENIENT is a new benchmark that evaluates how machine‑learning models, especially large language models, generalize when trained on convenience samples that bias feature–target relationships. Unlike prior distribution‑shift tests that rely on natural domain splits, INCONVENIENT explicitly perturbs these relationships while keeping the deployment population unchanged, allowing controlled study of shift severity and direction. The benchmark covers 200 tabular classification and regression datasets and produces about 15,500 shifted training distributions, revealing significant performance degradation.
arXiv:2608. 00632v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern machine learning pipelines increasingly rely on reusing pretrained and foundation models across downstream tasks.
arXiv:2606. 18307v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Optimizing the training data distribution for Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) dictates the capability of Large Language Models (LLMs).
arXiv:2608. 02412v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have become the default tool for a remarkable range of tasks, yet they have had conspicuously little success at one of the most common machine learning workloads: predictive analytics over tabular data.
arXiv:2604. 26170v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Adapting large language models (LLMs) to a targeted task efficiently and effectively remains a fundamental challenge.
arXiv:2601.17609v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In domains like medicine and finance, large-scale labeled data is costly and often unavailable, leading to models trained on small datasets that st...
arXiv:2608. 00701v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reweighting source samples to match a target covariate distribution is a standard response to distribution shift when generalizing evidence from one population to another.
OLMo-Detect is a new benchmark for membership inference attacks (MIAs) on large language models, covering pre‑training, mid‑training, and post‑training stages. It aligns member and non‑member samples on key axes and rigorously filters non‑members using infini‑gram, also offering a shifted variant to test distribution robustness. Evaluation of 15 unsupervised and 3 supervised MIAs on the OLMo 2 family shows limited overall performance (best AUC 0.68), peak detection at mid‑training driven by data type, and sensitivity to distribution shifts, with findings generalizing to OLMo 3 and other models.
arXiv:2610.00873v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In many industrial applications, 1) tabular data is scarce and imbalanced and thus requires synthetic expansion; 2) input distributions drift between...
arXiv:2609.37076v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models trained on vast corpora inherently risk memorizing harmful content that may later re-emerge in their outputs. To mitigate this is...
The paper investigates how Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) can achieve strong transfer learning by self‑supervised pre‑training on a single real table. It finds that a table’s usefulness is largely determined by its number of features rather than instances, and that fine‑grained column‑level preprocessing improves downstream performance while dataset‑level filtering does not. The authors propose that tabular in‑context generalization is primarily retrieval‑based, with models learning to identify and aggregate relevant examples from the provided context.
arXiv:2610.01143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Despite strong mean accuracy, tabular foundation models (TFMs) can perform poorly on underrepresented groups under subpopulation shift, where group p...
arXiv:2509. 09960v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Synthetic tabular data generation is increasingly essential in machine learning, supporting downstream applications when real-world, high-quality tabular data is insufficient.