Uplift modeling, crucial for estimating individual treatment effects (ITE), faces dual challenges: flexibly leveraging inter-group similarity to enhance discriminative power and debiasing under unobserved confounding scenarios. In this paper, we propose the Cross-Head Attention Uplift Network (CHAUN) and Robust Adversarial Inverse Propensity Score (RA-IPS) method to address these limitations.
arXiv:2606. 03332v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic models are typically trained using task-agnostic objectives like log-loss, which can lead to significant errors in downstream estimation.
By Roman Plaud, Alexandre Perez-Lebel, Antoine Saillenfest, Thomas Bonald, Marine Le Morvan, Ga\"el Varoquaux, Matthieu Labeau
arXiv:2604. 23904v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Synthetic tabular data are often evaluated by distributional similarity, privacy distance, or train-on-synthetic-test-on-real predictive performance, but these criteria do not ensure validity for causal inference.
By Yichen Xu
Probabilistic models are typically trained using task-agnostic objectives like log-loss, which can lead to significant errors in downstream estimation. This disconnect is especially critical in Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) for causal inference, where propensity score errors near $0$ and $1$ often lead to high bias and variance.
arXiv:2505. 17961v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal inference typically assumes centralized access to individual-level data.
By R\'emi Khellaf, Aur\'elien Bellet, Julie Josse
arXiv:2603. 19186v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating treatment effects, yet they are often underpowered for detecting effect heterogeneity.
By Amir Asiaee, Samhita Pal
arXiv:2604. 16763v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal inference from electronic health records (EHR) is fundamentally limited by unmeasured confounding: critical clinical states such as frailty, goals of care, and mental status are documented in free-text notes but absent from structured data.
By Lei Liu, Jialin Chen, Kathy Macropol
arXiv:2510. 12957v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We treat the internals of generative models as mechanistic objects rather than black boxes.
By Noor Islam S. Mohammad, Ulu\u{g} Bayaz{\i}t
arXiv:2507. 14661v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Semi-supervised domain adaptation (SSDA) seeks to achieve accurate predictions in a target domain with limited labeled target data by exploiting abundant source and unlabeled target data.
By Wooseok Ha, Yuansi Chen
arXiv:2603. 15158v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Addressing the domain adaptation problem becomes more challenging when distribution shifts across domains stem from latent confounders that affect both covariates and outcomes.
By Zahra Rahiminasab, Reza Soumi, Arto Klami, Samuel Kaski
arXiv:2602. 12972v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In online advertising, marketing interventions such as coupons introduce significant confounding bias into Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction.
By Siyun Yang, Shixiao Yang, Jian Wang, Di Fan, Kehe Cai, Haoyan Fu, Jiaming Zhang, Wenjin Wu, Peng Jiang
arXiv:2603. 20775v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In personalized marketing, uplift models estimate the incremental effect of an intervention by modeling how customer behavior would change under alternative treatments using counterfactual analysis.
By Yuxuan Yang, Dugang Liu, Yiyan Huang