The paper introduces a reverse spatio‑temporal disease progression model that reconstructs unobserved healthier anatomy from later diseased scans. It employs a two‑stage architecture: a frozen 3D vector‑quantised autoencoder creates a discrete latent space, and a Neural ODE learns continuous‑time dynamics, with a recurrent encoder initializing the latent state from reverse‑ordered observations. Experiments on a synthetic Morpho‑MNIST benchmark and longitudinal Alzheimer’s MRIs show the model can recover unseen prior states and outperform baseline methods in predicting healthy trajectories.
By Ulugbek Shernazarov, Moucheng Xu, Inomjon Ramatov
arXiv:2512. 09185v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Understanding disease progression is a central clinical challenge with direct implications for early diagnosis and personalized treatment.
By Hao Chen, Rui Yin, Yifan Chen, Qi Chen, Chao Li
arXiv:2604. 22700v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modeling and predicting neurodegenerative disease progression from medical images remains a major challenge in medical AI, with significant implications for early diagnosis, disease monitoring, and treatment planning.
By Nivetha Jayakumar, Swakshar Deb, Bahram Jafrasteh, Qingyu Zhao, Miaomiao Zhang
arXiv:2609.12834v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Modelling how a disease progresses over time requires longitudinal imaging cohorts, which are scarce and small, whereas cross-sectional data -- one ima...
By Ifeoma Veronica Nwabufo, Julius Gervelmeyer, Sarah M\"uller, Philipp Berens
We introduce SMART, a framework for learning a flexible, interpretable, and scalable spatio-temporal brain atlas from longitudinal high-resolution 3D medical images. Existing approaches to spatio-temporal atlas construction rely on black-box generative models that lack flexibility, limit interpretability, and struggle to scale to high-dimensional data.
NOAH is a generative transformer that models the entire multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space to capture continuous, stochastic clinical trajectories. Trained on over 559 million events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual simulations, yielding strong predictive performance across 15 ICD chapters, 29 comorbidities, and time‑to‑event outcomes.
NOAH is a generative transformer that learns the full multimodal patient journey by integrating bidirectional time and a variational latent space. Trained on over 559 million clinical events from 431,000 hospital visits, it processes medical images, time‑series, numeric signals, categorical events, and both structured and unstructured records. The model supports autoregressive forecasting, zero‑shot classification, and counterfactual intervention simulation, yielding strong performance on clinical outcomes, ICD chapters, comorbidities, and time‑to‑event prediction.
By Tobias Susetzky, Raphael Rehms, Dmitrii Seletkov, \"Ozg\"un Turgut, Michelle Espranita Liman, Lisa Steinhelfer, Rickmer Braren, Daniel Rueckert
The paper introduces Latent Drift, a generative forecasting framework that predicts slow-evolving neurodegenerative disease progression by learning changes in a compressed semantic representation rather than full-resolution anatomy. It addresses two failure modes—identity collapse and continuous interpolation trap—by removing pixel-level identity from the prediction target and applying Finite Scalar Quantization to suppress high-frequency nuisance fluctuations. Experiments on longitudinal 3D brain MRI demonstrate that Latent Drift outperforms diffusion and autoregressive transformer baselines in both generative fidelity and clinically relevant metrics.
By Yuxiang Feng, Juncheng Wang, Chao Xu, Wenlong Hou, Huihan Wang, Yijie Qian, Yang Liu, Baigui Sun, Yong Liu, Shujun Wang
arXiv:2606. 24604v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Longitudinal modelling of Alzheimer's disease progression is clinically useful only if it can describe not just the most likely next diagnosis, but how a patient may evolve over time and how reliable that forecast is.
By Arya Hariharan, Shreyank N Gowda, Anala M R
arXiv:2609.17169v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Forecasting anatomical changes such as tumor growth and neurodegeneration is a challenging generative vision task. Morphological evolution is subtle...
By Anna Oliveras, Roger Mar\'i, Rafael Redondo, Oriol Guardi\`a, Cynthia Ifeyinwa Ugwu, Ana Tost, Bhalaji Nagarajan, Carolina Migliorelli, Vicent Ribas, Petia Radeva
Longitudinal modelling of Alzheimer's disease progression is clinically useful only if it can describe not just the most likely next diagnosis, but how a patient may evolve over time and how reliable that forecast is. Most deep learning approaches reduce this problem to single-step classification, treating cognitively normal, mild cognitive impairment, and dementia as flat categories while providing limited insight into how uncertainty accumulates across future visits.
arXiv:2502.04892v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Learning robust representations from functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) is fundamentally challenged by the temporal irregularity an...
By Joonhyeong Park, Byoungwoo Park, Chang-Bae Bang, Jungwon Choi, Hyungjin Chung, Byung-Hoon Kim, Juho Lee