Longitudinal modelling of Alzheimer's disease progression is clinically useful only if it can describe not just the most likely next diagnosis, but how a patient may evolve over time and how reliable that forecast is. Most deep learning approaches reduce this problem to single-step classification, treating cognitively normal, mild cognitive impairment, and dementia as flat categories while providing limited insight into how uncertainty accumulates across future visits.
arXiv:2606. 07798v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Alzheimer's disease is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder, and its progression varies substantially across patients.
By Ratnadeep Das, Atri Chatterjee, Sitikantha Roy
arXiv:2606. 09671v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression is highly heterogeneous and is typically observed through sparse and irregular longitudinal data, posing challenges for prediction and personalised monitoring.
By Yinyu Huang, Yilin Zhang, Sofia Michopoulou, Christopher Kipps, Rahman Attar
The paper introduces a reverse spatio‑temporal disease progression model that reconstructs unobserved healthier anatomy from later diseased scans. It employs a two‑stage architecture: a frozen 3D vector‑quantised autoencoder creates a discrete latent space, and a Neural ODE learns continuous‑time dynamics, with a recurrent encoder initializing the latent state from reverse‑ordered observations. Experiments on a synthetic Morpho‑MNIST benchmark and longitudinal Alzheimer’s MRIs show the model can recover unseen prior states and outperform baseline methods in predicting healthy trajectories.
By Ulugbek Shernazarov, Moucheng Xu, Inomjon Ramatov
Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression is highly heterogeneous and is typically observed through sparse and irregular longitudinal data, posing challenges for prediction and personalised monitoring. Existing machine learning approaches have improved AD prediction using multimodal data, yet often focus on static classification or cohort-level risk estimation, providing limited support for subject-specific modelling and uncertainty-aware reasoning.
arXiv:2608. 19436v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Alzheimer's disease (AD) progresses as a continuous biological process, whereas most existing neuroimaging-based artificial intelligence methods remain limited to discrete diagnosis or clinical score prediction from cross-sectional imaging.
By Yingying Zhang, Kun Zhao, Guodong Liu, Qi Huang, Pengfei Gu, Dongchul Kim, Erik Enriquez, Alex D. Leow, Paul M. Thompson, Heng Huang, Hongchang Gao, Liang Zhan, Haoteng Tang